Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Singida Black Stars vs Mbeya City

Tanzania Tanzania

Federation Cup Airtel Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Aucho K.
59' Event
Jarjou L.
63' Event
Imoro I.

AI Match Summary

The Federation Cup game between Singida Black Stars and Mbeya City finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Singida Black Stars.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Singida Black Stars
17%
Draws
13%
Mbeya City
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Singida Black Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Singida Black Stars carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Singida Black Stars's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Cup games in Federation Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Singida Black Stars here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Singida Black Stars Clean Sheet 68%
Mbeya City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Singida Black Stars Mbeya City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 3 9
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Mbeya City
4:1
Apr 12, 2026 Federation Cup
Singida Black Stars vs Mbeya City
5:1
Mar 15, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars
1:4
Feb 5, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Mbeya City
2:0
Oct 8, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Singida Black Stars Compare

Top Goalscorer Imoro I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aucho K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Mbeya City Compare

Top Goalscorer William Dixon D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Singida Black Stars 77 / 100
Mbeya City 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Singida Black Stars Mbeya City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SBS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Singida Black Stars found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Mbeya City has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Singida Black Stars has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Singida Black Stars VS Mbeya City
2.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Simba3
Dodoma Jiji1
Namungo0
TRA United2
Coastal Union2
Pamba0
Singida Black Stars5
Mbeya City1
Geita Gold0
Mashujaa1
Azam4
Fountain Gate0
JKT Tanzania3
Mbuni0
Young Africans1
TMA Stars0
Quarter-finals
Simba4
TRA United0
Coastal Union1
Singida Black Stars0
Mashujaa0
Azam1
JKT Tanzania0
Young Africans2
Semi-finals
Simba4
Coastal Union0
Azam3
Young Africans2
Final
Simba1
Azam0