Sport Picks
Singida Black Stars vs Mbeya City Prediction & H2H Stats
Tanzania
Federation Cup Airtel Stadium, Singida 
Match Events
15'
15'
Aucho K.
59'
59'
Jarjou L.
63'
63'
Imoro I.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 5-1. The second leg ended 5-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Singida Black Stars
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Singida Black Stars carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Singida Black Stars's way, sitting at 80%.
- Singida Black Stars have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Singida Black Stars, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Singida Black Stars have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 78.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Singida Black Stars Clean Sheet 68%
Mbeya City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Singida Black Stars | Mbeya City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.12 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 26, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Mbeya City
4:1
Apr 12, 2026 Federation Cup
Singida Black Stars vs Mbeya City
5:1
Mar 15, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars
1:4
Feb 5, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Mbeya City
2:0
Oct 8, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Singida Black Stars Compare
Top Goalscorer Imoro I.
2 Goals Assists Leader Aucho K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Mbeya City Compare
Top Goalscorer William Dixon D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Singida Black Stars 86 / 100
Mbeya City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Singida Black Stars Mbeya City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Singida Black Stars Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Singida Black Stars found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (33 games).
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Defensive concern: Mbeya City conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
Singida Black Stars has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Singida Black Stars VS Mbeya City
2.13 Goals Scored 0.86
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.57
100% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 14%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Singida Black Stars
(Home) 13 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 0 Al-Ghazala
09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1 Singida Black Stars
06 Sept
Al-Ghazala
1 : 7 Singida Black Stars
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2 Namungo
29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2 Polisi Tanzania
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13 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 0 Al-Ghazala
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2 Namungo
29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2 Polisi Tanzania
22 Aug
Singida Black Stars
1 : 2 Simba
14 Aug
Singida Black Stars
3 : 0 Fountain Gate
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Mbeya City
(Away) 12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 Mbeya City
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0 Mbeya City
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Mbeya City
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1 Mashujaa
19 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Dodoma Jiji
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 Mbeya City
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0 Mbeya City
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Mbeya City
08 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0 Mbeya City
27 Jun
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 1 Mbeya City
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Simba 3
Dodoma Jiji 1
Namungo 0
TRA United 2
Coastal Union 2
Pamba 0
Singida Black Stars 5
Mbeya City 1
Geita Gold 0
Mashujaa 1
Azam 4
Fountain Gate 0
JKT Tanzania 3
Mbuni 0
Young Africans 1
TMA Stars 0
Quarter-finals
Simba 4
TRA United 0
Coastal Union 1
Singida Black Stars 0
Mashujaa 0
Azam 1
JKT Tanzania 0
Young Africans 2
Semi-finals
Simba 4
Coastal Union 0
Azam 3
Young Africans 2
Final
Simba 1
Azam 0
