Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Singida Black Stars vs Simba

Africa Africa

CECAFA Kagame Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Doumbia I.
50' Event
Tegisi M.
66' Event
Mpanzu E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Singida Black Stars
15%
Draws
47%
Simba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Simba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Simba come out ahead of Singida Black Stars on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Simba arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Simba, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Simba have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Singida Black Stars Clean Sheet 68%
Simba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Singida Black Stars Simba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 25
Draws 2 4
Losses 11 1
Goals Scored 2.27 2
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Simba
1:2
Jul 31, 2026 CECAFA Kagame Cup
Singida Black Stars vs Simba
1:2
Jun 27, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Singida Black Stars
2:0
Mar 11, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Simba
1:2
Sep 11, 2025 Community Shield
Simba vs Singida Black Stars
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Singida Black Stars Compare

Top Goalscorer Tegisi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Simba Compare

Top Goalscorer Doumbia I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mpanzu E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Singida Black Stars 42 / 100
Simba 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Singida Black Stars Simba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Singida Black Stars's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Singida Black Stars stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Simba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 33% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Singida Black Stars VS Simba
3 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Singida Black Stars

(Home)
13 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 0
Al-Ghazala
09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Singida Black Stars
06 Sept
Al-Ghazala
1 : 7
Singida Black Stars
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2
Namungo
29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2
Polisi Tanzania
Page 1 of 6

Simba

(Away)
16 Sept
Azam
0 : 2
Simba
13 Sept
Simba
6 : 1
Mighty Wanderers FC
06 Sept
Mighty Wanderers FC
0 : 1
Simba
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0
Geita Gold
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0
Coastal Union
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
2 Vipers 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
3 APR 3 2 0 1 5:7 6
4 Garde Republicaine 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamus 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Simba 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Singida Black Stars 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
4 Mogadishu City 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayon Sport 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Al-Hilal Omdurman 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
3 Tusker 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 KVZ 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams