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Singida Black Stars vs Simba

Africa Africa

CECAFA Kagame Cup
Fri, Jul 31, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CECAFA Kagame Cup. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Singida Black Stars at 2.13 goals for, 1.75 against; Simba at 2 for, 0.25 against. Head-to-head, Singida Black Stars have won 1 to Simba's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 27, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.88) point toward Simba. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Singida Black Stars
22%
Draws
60%
Simba
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Simba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Simba come out ahead of Singida Black Stars on wins alone.
  • Simba are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Simba arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Simba, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Singida Black Stars Clean Sheet 10%
Simba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Singida Black Stars Simba
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 21
Draws 3 7
Losses 11 0
Goals Scored 2.13 2
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Singida Black Stars
2:0
Mar 11, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Simba
1:2
Sep 11, 2025 Community Shield
Simba vs Singida Black Stars
0:0
May 31, 2025 Federation Cup
Simba vs Singida Black Stars
1:3
May 28, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Singida Black Stars
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Singida Black Stars 18 / 100
Simba 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Singida Black Stars Simba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Singida Black Stars scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Simba has conceded goals in 25% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Singida Black Stars stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Singida Black Stars VS Simba
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Singida Black Stars

(Home)
25 Jul
Singida Black Stars
0 : 2
Jamus
30 Jun
Fountain Gate
4 : 3
Singida Black Stars
27 Jun
Simba
2 : 0
Singida Black Stars
24 Jun
Singida Black Stars
3 : 1
Tanzania Prisons
17 Jun
Singida Black Stars
5 : 0
Dodoma Jiji
Page 1 of 6

Simba

(Away)
25 Jul
Simba
0 : 0
Mogadishu City
04 Jul
Simba
1 : 0
Azam
30 Jun
Simba
1 : 0
Kinondoni MC
27 Jun
Simba
2 : 0
Singida Black Stars
24 Jun
Mtibwa Sugar
0 : 3
Simba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mahia11005:03
2Vipers11003:03
3CF GR/SIAF10010:30
4APR10010:50
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jamus11002:03
2Simba10100:01
3Mogadishu City10100:01
4Singida Black Stars10010:20
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman00000:00
2Rayon Sport00000:00
3Tusker00000:00
4KVZ00000:00
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams