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Sinimustat Turku vs Ilves - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group B 2009
Sinimustat Turku Logo

Sinimustat Turku

2 - 1
FT
Ilves Logo

Ilves

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sinimustat Turku in this Kakkonen Group B 2009 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sinimustat Turku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Sinimustat Turku
15%
Draws
68%
Ilves
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ilves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ilves lately — more wins on the board than Sinimustat Turku.
  • Win probability leans Ilves's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sinimustat Turku Clean Sheet 19%
Ilves Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sinimustat Turku Ilves
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 15
Draws 9 4
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2010 Kakkonen Group B
Sinimustat Turku vs Ilves
4:2
May 14, 2010 Kakkonen Group B
Ilves vs Sinimustat Turku
2:0
Oct 11, 2009 Kakkonen Group B
Sinimustat Turku vs Ilves
2:1
May 9, 2009 Kakkonen Group B
Ilves vs Sinimustat Turku
2:1
Aug 15, 2008 Kakkonen Group B
Ilves vs Sinimustat Turku
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sinimustat Turku 10 / 100
Ilves 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sinimustat Turku Ilves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ilves Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Sinimustat Turku's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ilves's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Sinimustat Turku stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ilves
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sinimustat Turku

(Home)
02 Oct
Sinimustat Turku
4 : 2
Ilves
26 Sept
Ekenas IF
7 : 1
Sinimustat Turku
17 Sept
Sinimustat Turku
2 : 3
MuSa
10 Sept
Sinimustat Turku
1 : 4
GrIFK
03 Sept
Pallo-Iirot
1 : 0
Sinimustat Turku
Page 1 of 6

Ilves

(Away)
03 Oct
Ilves
3 : 0
Haka
19 Sept
TPS
0 : 3
Ilves
12 Sept
Ilves
3 : 1
Lahti
08 Sept
Ilves
2 : 0
Jaro
31 Aug
Ilves
1 : 2
HJK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Espoo 26 16 7 3 43:19 55
2 LoPa 26 17 3 6 41:15 54
3 Ilves 26 14 3 9 40:30 45
4 KaaPo 26 10 9 7 35:32 39
5 Pallo-Iirot 26 10 6 10 37:32 36
6 Pallohonka 26 10 6 10 41:37 36
7 SalPa 26 10 4 12 37:38 34
8 Ekenas IF 26 9 6 11 43:43 33
9 Abo IFK 26 9 5 12 43:43 32
10 Jazz Pori 26 8 8 10 29:42 32
11 Sinimustat Turku 26 7 10 9 30:34 31
12 PP-70 26 8 4 14 31:49 28
13 Narpes Kraft 26 8 4 14 28:46 28
14 Pirkkalan 26 6 5 15 34:52 23
Promotion - Ykkonen 2010 (Main)