Sport Picks

Brazil

Matogrossense U20 2024

Nova Mutum EC U20

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sinop FC U20 play Nova Mutum EC U20 in the Matogrossense U20 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sinop FC U20 averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. Nova Mutum EC U20 averaged 3.29 goals scored and 0.67 conceded. In past meetings, Sinop FC U20 won 0, Nova Mutum EC U20 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 13, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Sinop FC U20 and 2.42 for Nova Mutum EC U20. This points to a Nova Mutum EC U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Sinop FC U20

20%

Draws

53%

Nova Mutum EC U20

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nova Mutum EC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

Sinop FC U20 picked up more points recently compared to Nova Mutum EC U20.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 2.42 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Sinop FC U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Nova Mutum EC U20 Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sinop FC U20	Nova Mutum EC U20
Matches Played	11	24
Wins	4	16
Draws	2	5
Losses	5	3
Goals Scored	1.18	3.29
Goals Conceded	1.45	0.67
Expected Goals (xG)	1.33	3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.33	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2024 Matogrossense U20

Nova Mutum EC U20 vs Sinop FC U20

Possession: 42% - 51% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Jul 7, 2024 Matogrossense U20

Sinop FC U20 vs Nova Mutum EC U20

Possession: 58% - 51% Cards: 2 - 1

1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sinop FC U20 26 / 100

Nova Mutum EC U20 51 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sinop FC U20 Nova Mutum EC U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nova Mutum EC U20 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Nova Mutum EC U20 & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +42%

5.26

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sinop FC U20 attacking → ← attacking Nova Mutum EC U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sinop FC U20 scored in 55% of their last 11 games.

Nova Mutum EC U20 let in goals in 54% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Sinop FC U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Nova Mutum EC U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

14 Points in last 5 53

1.33 Goals expected (xG) 3.50

1.33 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50