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Sinop FC U20 vs Nova Mutum EC U20

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nova Mutum EC U20 in this Matogrossense U20 2024 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sinop FC U20
20%
Draws
46%
Nova Mutum EC U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nova Mutum EC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Nova Mutum EC U20 have won more games recently than Sinop FC U20.
  • Win probability leans Nova Mutum EC U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Nova Mutum EC U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nova Mutum EC U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sinop FC U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Nova Mutum EC U20 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sinop FC U20 Nova Mutum EC U20
Matches Played 11 24
Wins 4 16
Draws 2 5
Losses 5 3
Goals Scored 1.18 3.29
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 2.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2024 Matogrossense U20
Nova Mutum EC U20 vs Sinop FC U20
2:0
Jul 7, 2024 Matogrossense U20
Sinop FC U20 vs Nova Mutum EC U20
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sinop FC U20 10 / 100
Nova Mutum EC U20 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sinop FC U20 Nova Mutum EC U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nova Mutum EC U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Sinop FC U20 found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (11 games).

Nova Mutum EC U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 24 matches.

Sinop FC U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sinop FC U20 VS Nova Mutum EC U20
1.33 Goals Scored 3.5
1.33 Goals Conceded 0.5
67% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sinop FC U20

(Home)
13 Jul
Nova Mutum EC U20
2 : 0
Sinop FC U20
07 Jul
Sinop FC U20
1 : 4
Nova Mutum EC U20
01 Jul
Sinop FC U20
3 : 1
Sport Sinop U20
25 Jun
Luverdense U20
1 : 0
Sinop FC U20
20 Jun
Sport Sinop U20
0 : 4
Sinop FC U20
Page 1 of 3

Nova Mutum EC U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Nova Mutum EC U20
2 : 2
Luverdense U20
30 Aug
Luverdense U20
1 : 0
Nova Mutum EC U20
23 Aug
Nova Mutum EC U20
4 : 0
Campo Novo U20
17 Aug
Campo Novo U20
0 : 4
Nova Mutum EC U20
12 Aug
Luverdense U20
0 : 0
Nova Mutum EC U20
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Acao U20 1
Dom Bosco U20 2
Sinop FC U20 1
Nova Mutum EC U20 6
Caceres U20 2
Luverdense U20 15
Academia U20 2
Cuiaba U20 5
Semi-finals
Dom Bosco U20 2
Nova Mutum EC U20 1
Luverdense U20 2
Cuiaba U20 2
Final
Dom Bosco U20 0
Cuiaba U20 2