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Sinop FC vs Cacerense

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Sinop FC
15%
Draws
40%
Cacerense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sinop FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sinop FC come out ahead of Cacerense on wins alone.
  • Sinop FC are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Sinop FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sinop FC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sinop FC Clean Sheet 20%
Cacerense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sinop FC Cacerense
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.26 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Sinop FC vs Cacerense
2:0
Jun 3, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Cacerense vs Sinop FC
2:1
Mar 19, 2017 Matogrossense
Sinop FC vs Cacerense
3:1
Feb 1, 2017 Matogrossense
Cacerense vs Sinop FC
0:3
Mar 13, 2016 Matogrossense
Sinop FC vs Cacerense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sinop FC 76 / 100
Cacerense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sinop FC Cacerense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sinop FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sinop FC's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Cacerense has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sinop FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sinop FC VS Cacerense
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sinop FC

(Home)
07 Jun
Sinop FC
2 : 0
Cacerense
03 Jun
Cacerense
2 : 1
Sinop FC
31 May
Sinop FC
0 : 0
Santa Cruz MT
23 May
Santa Cruz MT
0 : 1
Sinop FC
17 May
Campo Novo
1 : 3
Sinop FC
Page 1 of 7

Cacerense

(Away)
26 Sept
Cacerense
2 : 5
Cuiaba
19 Sept
Cacerense
3 : 2
Campo Novo
12 Sept
Sorriso EC
1 : 2
Cacerense
07 Jun
Sinop FC
2 : 0
Cacerense
03 Jun
Cacerense
2 : 1
Sinop FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Sinop FC -
TBD -
Acao 1
Santa Cruz MT 2
Uirapuru -
TBD -
Sorriso EC 2
Cacerense 3
Semi-finals
Sinop FC 1
Santa Cruz MT 0
Uirapuru 2
Cacerense 3
Final
Sinop FC 3
Cacerense 2