Sport Picks
Sint Maarten vs Guadeloupe
North & Central America
CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 
Match Events
6'
6'
Baron A.
38'
38'
Arenate A.
65'
65'
Sub
Archimede L. In: Arconte T.
Out: Archimede L.
AI Match Summary
The CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 game between Sint Maarten and Guadeloupe finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guadeloupe.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sint Maarten
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Guadeloupe come out ahead of Sint Maarten on wins alone.
- 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Guadeloupe have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sint Maarten Clean Sheet 15%
Guadeloupe Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sint Maarten | Guadeloupe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.85 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 16, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Sint Maarten vs Guadeloupe
0:2
Sep 10, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Guadeloupe vs Sint Maarten
4:0
Oct 14, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
Sint Maarten vs Guadeloupe
1:2
Sep 7, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
Guadeloupe vs Sint Maarten
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sint Maarten Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Guadeloupe Compare
Top Goalscorer Plumain A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Phaeton M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sint Maarten 30 / 100
Guadeloupe 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sint Maarten Guadeloupe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sint Maarten Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.
Sint Maarten's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Solid form: Sint Maarten remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Away concern: Guadeloupe has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sint Maarten VS Guadeloupe
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sint Maarten
(Home) 27 Sept
Sint Maarten
0 : 1 Belize
30 Mar
Dominica
0 : 0 Sint Maarten
27 Mar
Belize
2 : 3 Sint Maarten
15 Nov
Dominica
2 : 3 Sint Maarten
12 Nov
Saint Kitts and Nevis
0 : 0 Sint Maarten
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Sint Maarten
0 : 1 Belize
15 Nov
Sint Maarten
0 : 8 Haiti
11 Oct
Sint Maarten
3 : 2 Puerto Rico
06 Sept
Sint Maarten
2 : 0 Aruba
17 Mar
Sint Maarten
1 : 1 Anguilla
Page 1 of 3
Guadeloupe
(Away) 28 Sept
Guadeloupe
2 : 2 Barbados
25 Sept
Bermuda
1 : 2 Guadeloupe
24 Jun
Guadeloupe
2 : 3 Guatemala
20 Jun
Jamaica
2 : 1 Guadeloupe
16 Jun
Panama
5 : 2 Guadeloupe
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Bermuda
1 : 2 Guadeloupe
20 Jun
Jamaica
2 : 1 Guadeloupe
16 Jun
Panama
5 : 2 Guadeloupe
26 Mar
Nicaragua
0 : 1 Guadeloupe
15 Nov
Cayman Islands
0 : 6 Guadeloupe
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guadeloupe | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Sint Maarten | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:15 | 6 |
| 4 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nicaragua | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17:1 | 16 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Montserrat | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:14 | 9 |
| 4 | Barbados | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7:26 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | French Guiana | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 2 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13:14 | 9 |
| 3 | Bermuda | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 4 | Belize | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | 7 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guyana | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Puerto Rico | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 22:10 | 12 |
| 3 | Antigua and Barbuda | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:22 | 4 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7:21 | 1 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
