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Sint Maarten vs Turks and Caicos Islands

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Lake G.
14' Event
Hughes S.
18' Event
Lake G.

AI Match Summary

Sint Maarten in this CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 8-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sint Maarten.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Sint Maarten
17%
Draws
13%
Turks and Caicos Islands
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sint Maarten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sint Maarten lately — more wins on the board than Turks and Caicos Islands.
  • Sint Maarten are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Turks and Caicos Islands have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Sint Maarten Clean Sheet 16%
Turks and Caicos Islands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sint Maarten Turks and Caicos Islands
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2022 CONCACAF Nations League
Turks and Caicos Islands vs Sint Maarten
2:0
Jun 11, 2022 CONCACAF Nations League
Sint Maarten vs Turks and Caicos Islands
8:2
Nov 14, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
Turks and Caicos Islands vs Sint Maarten
3:2
Oct 10, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
Sint Maarten vs Turks and Caicos Islands
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sint Maarten Compare

Top Goalscorer Lake G.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Hughes S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Turks and Caicos Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Forbes B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sint Maarten 66 / 100
Turks and Caicos Islands 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sint Maarten Turks and Caicos Islands

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turks and Caicos Islands's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sint Maarten remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Sint Maarten scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sint Maarten VS Turks and Caicos Islands
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sint Maarten632119:911
2Bonaire631212:1110
3Turks and Caicos Islands630310:169
4United States Virgin Islands61145:104
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saint Kitts and Nevis43109:410
2Aruba41125:54
3Saint Martin40222:72
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saint Lucia44008:212
2Anguilla40222:52
3Dominica40222:52
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Puerto Rico440017:212
2Cayman Islands40223:102
3British Virgin Islands40223:112