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Sintrense vs Alverca B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026
Sintrense Logo

Sintrense

2 - 1
FT
Alverca B Logo

Alverca B

Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Kauan
60' Event
Henriques H.
63' Event
Carvalho R.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sintrense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sintrense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Sintrense
15%
Draws
28%
Alverca B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sintrense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Alverca B average 1.83 goals a game right now, well clear of Sintrense's 1.37.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Sintrense Clean Sheet 68%
Alverca B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sintrense Alverca B
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.37 1.83
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sintrense vs Alverca B
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Alverca B vs Sintrense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sintrense Compare

Top Goalscorer Henriques H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Alverca B Compare

Top Goalscorer Kauan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sintrense 41 / 100
Alverca B 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sintrense Alverca B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sintrense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Alverca B conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Sintrense found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Sintrense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sintrense VS Alverca B
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sintrense

(Home)
20 Sept
Sintrense
0 : 2
AFS
13 Sept
Sintrense
3 : 1
Santa Clara B
06 Sept
Imortal
0 : 2
Sintrense
30 Aug
Caldas SC
1 : 3
Sintrense
23 Aug
Sintrense
4 : 0
Aljustrelense
Page 1 of 6

Alverca B

(Away)
27 Sept
Alverca B
5 : 0
Fazendense
13 Sept
Naval 1893
1 : 0
Alverca B
06 Sept
Alverca B
0 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
23 Aug
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1
Alverca B
18 Apr
Alverca B
5 : 0
Industria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Louletano 26 14 8 4 36:15 50
2 Malveira 26 13 8 5 38:23 47
3 Alverca B 26 14 5 7 49:32 47
4 Juv. Evora 26 12 10 4 36:23 46
5 GD Alcochetense 26 11 8 7 33:22 41
6 Sintrense 26 11 7 8 30:25 40
7 Lagoa 26 11 6 9 44:34 39
8 O Elvas CAD 26 9 7 10 33:29 34
9 Serpa 26 9 7 10 28:34 34
10 Oriental 26 7 11 8 29:35 32
11 Moncarapachense 26 7 10 9 21:21 31
12 Portimonense B 26 6 4 16 19:42 22
13 Industria 26 2 8 16 20:45 14
14 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 1 11 14 20:56 14
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)