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Sintrense vs Lagoa

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Nicolatti V.
37' Event
Henriques H.
85' Event
Teixeira J.

AI Match Summary

Lagoa in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lagoa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Sintrense
20%
Draws
24%
Lagoa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sintrense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Lagoa haven't matched Sintrense's recent run of results.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Sintrense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Sintrense Clean Sheet 68%
Lagoa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sintrense Lagoa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.57
Goals Conceded 1 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sintrense vs Lagoa
1:2
Aug 10, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lagoa vs Sintrense
1:2
Mar 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sintrense vs Lagoa
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lagoa vs Sintrense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sintrense Compare

Top Goalscorer Henriques H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Lagoa Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicolatti V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Teixeira J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sintrense 95 / 100
Lagoa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sintrense Lagoa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sintrense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sintrense scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Lagoa has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sintrense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sintrense VS Lagoa
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sintrense

(Home)
20 Sept
Sintrense
0 : 2
AFS
13 Sept
Sintrense
3 : 1
Santa Clara B
06 Sept
Imortal
0 : 2
Sintrense
30 Aug
Caldas SC
1 : 3
Sintrense
23 Aug
Sintrense
4 : 0
Aljustrelense
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Lagoa

(Away)
19 Sept
Atletico CP
4 : 1
Lagoa
13 Sept
Lagoa
0 : 0
Serpa
06 Sept
Santa Clara B
1 : 2
Lagoa
23 Aug
Imortal
1 : 0
Lagoa
16 Aug
Aljustrelense
1 : 1
Lagoa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Louletano 26 14 8 4 36:15 50
2 Malveira 26 13 8 5 38:23 47
3 Alverca B 26 14 5 7 49:32 47
4 Juv. Evora 26 12 10 4 36:23 46
5 GD Alcochetense 26 11 8 7 33:22 41
6 Sintrense 26 11 7 8 30:25 40
7 Lagoa 26 11 6 9 44:34 39
8 O Elvas CAD 26 9 7 10 33:29 34
9 Serpa 26 9 7 10 28:34 34
10 Oriental 26 7 11 8 29:35 32
11 Moncarapachense 26 7 10 9 21:21 31
12 Portimonense B 26 6 4 16 19:42 22
13 Industria 26 2 8 16 20:45 14
14 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 1 11 14 20:56 14
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)