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Sintrense vs Moncarapachense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

75'
Sebastian K.
83'
Juah J.
83'
Juah J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Sintrense
15%
Draws
31%
Moncarapachense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sintrense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sintrense lately — more wins on the board than Moncarapachense.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Sintrense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Sintrense Clean Sheet 68%
Moncarapachense Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sintrense Moncarapachense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.43 0.9
Goals Conceded 1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Moncarapachense vs Sintrense
2:0
Nov 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sintrense vs Moncarapachense
0:0
Jan 26, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sintrense vs Moncarapachense
2:1
Sep 1, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Moncarapachense vs Sintrense
1:1
Mar 17, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sintrense vs Moncarapachense
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sintrense 68 / 100
Moncarapachense 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sintrense Moncarapachense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sintrense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sintrense scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Moncarapachense let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Sintrense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sintrense VS Moncarapachense
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.33
63% Over 1.5 33%
25% Over 2.5 17%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sintrense

(Home)
20 Sept
Sintrense
0 : 2
AFS
13 Sept
Sintrense
3 : 1
Santa Clara B
06 Sept
Imortal
0 : 2
Sintrense
30 Aug
Caldas SC
1 : 3
Sintrense
23 Aug
Sintrense
4 : 0
Aljustrelense
Page 1 of 6

Moncarapachense

(Away)
18 Apr
O Elvas CAD
0 : 0
Moncarapachense
12 Apr
Moncarapachense
0 : 1
Juv. Evora
04 Apr
Louletano
1 : 0
Moncarapachense
22 Mar
Moncarapachense
2 : 0
Sintrense
15 Mar
Portimonense B
0 : 3
Moncarapachense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Louletano 26 14 8 4 36:15 50
2 Malveira 26 13 8 5 38:23 47
3 Alverca B 26 14 5 7 49:32 47
4 Juv. Evora 26 12 10 4 36:23 46
5 GD Alcochetense 26 11 8 7 33:22 41
6 Sintrense 26 11 7 8 30:25 40
7 Lagoa 26 11 6 9 44:34 39
8 O Elvas CAD 26 9 7 10 33:29 34
9 Serpa 26 9 7 10 28:34 34
10 Oriental 26 7 11 8 29:35 32
11 Moncarapachense 26 7 10 9 21:21 31
12 Portimonense B 26 6 4 16 19:42 22
13 Industria 26 2 8 16 20:45 14
14 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 1 11 14 20:56 14
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)