Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sion vs Lugano

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Stade de Tourbillon, Sion
Sion Logo

Sion

1 - 2
FT
Lugano Logo

Lugano

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Moncada D.
Assist: Grgic A.
28'
Zanotti M.
46'
Sub
Moncada D. In: Steffen R.
Out: Moncada D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lugano in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lugano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Sion
15%
Draws
44%
Lugano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lugano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Sion haven't matched Lugano's recent run of results.
  • Lugano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Sion Clean Sheet 10%
Lugano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sion Lugano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 20
Draws 6 6
Losses 4 3
Goals Scored 2.86 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Super League
Sion vs Lugano
1:2
May 14, 2026 Super League
Sion vs Lugano
2:2
Mar 4, 2026 Super League
Lugano vs Sion
2:1
Nov 29, 2025 Super League
Lugano vs Sion
1:1
Aug 3, 2025 Super League
Sion vs Lugano
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sion Compare

Top Goalscorer Boteli W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Lugano Compare

Top Goalscorer Moncada D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castro Espinosa B. D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sion 10 / 100
Lugano 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sion Lugano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lugano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sion's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Lugano let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Sion remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sion VS Lugano
2.75 Goals Scored 2.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sion

(Home)
15 Sept
Grasshoppers
2 : 5
Sion
12 Sept
St. Gallen
0 : 3
Sion
06 Sept
Sion
3 : 2
Thun
03 Sept
Basel
1 : 2
Sion
30 Aug
Sion
1 : 2
Lugano
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Lugano

(Away)
16 Sept
Lugano
4 : 1
St. Gallen
12 Sept
Lugano
2 : 2
Young Boys
06 Sept
Basel
1 : 3
Lugano
03 Sept
Lugano
1 : 0
Servette
30 Aug
Sion
1 : 2
Lugano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugano 8 7 1 0 23:7 22
2 Sion 8 6 0 2 22:13 18
3 Young Boys 8 4 4 0 28:16 16
4 Basel 8 4 1 3 16:14 13
5 Servette 8 3 1 4 9:10 10
6 St. Gallen 8 3 1 4 13:18 10
7 Zurich 8 3 1 4 13:19 10
8 Luzern 8 2 3 3 12:17 9
9 Grasshoppers 8 2 2 4 12:19 8
10 Thun 8 2 1 5 13:22 7
11 Vaduz 8 2 0 6 17:19 6
12 Lausanne 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)