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Sion vs Luzern

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Stade de Tourbillon, Sion
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sion host Luzern in the Super League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Luzern have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Sion have conceded 1 and scored 3.5. Head-to-head, Sion have won 1 to Luzern's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (2.50 - 1.56) back Sion to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Sion
17%
Draws
13%
Luzern
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Sion's 3.5 goals per match outpaces what Luzern have produced (2.13).
  • Win probability leans Sion's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Sion Clean Sheet 15%
Luzern Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sion Luzern
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 10 5
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 3.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Super League
Sion vs Luzern
0:0
Jan 24, 2026 Super League
Sion vs Luzern
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Super League
Luzern vs Sion
3:3
Feb 23, 2025 Super League
Luzern vs Sion
2:1
Nov 10, 2024 Super League
Sion vs Luzern
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sion 66 / 100
Luzern 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sion Luzern

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sion found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (27 games).

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Sion went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Luzern conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sion VS Luzern
3.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sion

(Home)
23 Jul
BATE
1 : 1
Sion
17 Jul
Sion
4 : 0
Annecy
12 Jul
Yverdon
1 : 3
Sion
01 Jul
Xamax
2 : 4
Sion
27 Jun
Sion
7 : 0
Etoile-Carouge
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Luzern

(Away)
25 Jul
Luzern
1 : 3
Thun
18 Jul
Luzern
1 : 2
St. Truiden
10 Jul
Wil
0 : 2
Luzern
04 Jul
Luzern
3 : 2
Winterthur
27 Jun
Luzern
3 : 2
Lausanne Ouchy
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Thun11003:13
2Basel11001:03
3Lausanne10101:11
4Grasshoppers10101:11
5Lugano00000:00
6Young Boys00000:00
7Zurich00000:00
8Sion00000:00
9St. Gallen00000:00
10Vaduz00000:00
11Servette10010:10
12Luzern10011:30
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)