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Siracusa vs ASD Modica Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I Stadio Nicola De Simone, Siracusa
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Pistone S.

AI Match Summary

Siracusa in this Serie D - Group I matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Siracusa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Siracusa
20%
Draws
42%
ASD Modica Calcio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ASD Modica Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • ASD Modica Calcio haven't matched Siracusa's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Siracusa's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Siracusa Clean Sheet 68%
ASD Modica Calcio Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siracusa ASD Modica Calcio
Matches Played 29 7
Wins 8 3
Draws 11 1
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.41 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Siracusa vs ASD Modica Calcio
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siracusa Compare

Top Goalscorer Pistone S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

ASD Modica Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siracusa 86 / 100
ASD Modica Calcio 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siracusa ASD Modica Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siracusa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siracusa scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Siracusa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

ASD Modica Calcio let in goals in 57% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Siracusa VS ASD Modica Calcio
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Siracusa

(Home)
04 Oct
Milazzo
1 : 0
Siracusa
27 Sept
Siracusa
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
20 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
0 : 0
Siracusa
16 Sept
Siracusa
2 : 1
Gela
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
Page 1 of 6

ASD Modica Calcio

(Away)
07 Oct
Calcio Avola
0 : 4
ASD Modica Calcio
04 Oct
ASD Modica Calcio
3 : 0
Enna
27 Sept
Siracusa
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
20 Sept
ASD Modica Calcio
1 : 0
Castrumfavara
16 Sept
Sambiase
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 6 5 0 1 15:1 15
2 Vibonese 6 4 1 1 15:5 13
3 Sambiase 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Calcio Avola 6 4 0 2 9:10 12
5 Igea Virtus 6 3 2 1 14:11 11
6 Licata 6 3 2 1 8:8 11
7 Digiesse PraiaTortora 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
8 Milazzo 6 3 0 3 5:8 9
9 Athletic Palermo 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
10 Nissa 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 ASD Modica Calcio 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
12 Lamezia 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
13 Siracusa 6 3 2 1 8:5 4
14 Castrumfavara 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
15 Gela 6 1 2 3 4:6 4
16 USD Ragusa 6 0 2 4 4:9 2
17 Trapani 6 2 0 4 3:10 1
18 Enna 6 0 1 5 0:15 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)