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Siracusa vs Canicatti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Tedesco G.
45' Event
Iezzi G.
48' Event
Alma G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 game between Siracusa and Canicatti finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siracusa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Siracusa
30%
Draws
39%
Canicatti
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Canicatti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Canicatti haven't matched Siracusa's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Siracusa Clean Sheet 20%
Canicatti Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siracusa Canicatti
Matches Played 41 28
Wins 19 11
Draws 11 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.88 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Siracusa vs Canicatti
3:2
Sep 10, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Canicatti vs Siracusa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siracusa Compare

Top Goalscorer Alma G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suhs J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Canicatti Compare

Top Goalscorer Tedesco G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iezzi G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siracusa 32 / 100
Canicatti 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siracusa Canicatti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canicatti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siracusa's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 41 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Canicatti conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Siracusa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Siracusa VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Siracusa

(Home)
04 Oct
Milazzo
1 : 0
Siracusa
27 Sept
Siracusa
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
20 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
0 : 0
Siracusa
16 Sept
Siracusa
2 : 1
Gela
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
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Canicatti

(Away)
05 May
Canicatti
4 : 2
San Luca
21 Apr
Canicatti
5 : 0
AS Acireale
14 Apr
Reggina
5 : 0
Canicatti
07 Apr
Canicatti
4 : 1
Igea Virtus
28 Mar
Sancataldese
0 : 0
Canicatti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trapani 34 30 4 0 95:15 94
2 Siracusa 34 25 6 3 79:26 81
3 Vibonese 34 22 6 6 67:29 72
4 Reggina 34 19 8 7 54:25 65
5 AS Acireale 34 15 9 10 39:41 54
6 S. Agata 34 15 7 12 46:35 52
7 Real Casalnuovo 34 15 6 13 52:49 51
8 USD Ragusa 34 14 8 12 41:38 50
9 Canicatti 34 14 6 14 55:51 48
10 Igea Virtus 34 13 6 15 38:40 45
11 Licata 34 12 7 15 43:54 43
12 Akragas 34 12 6 16 42:53 42
13 Sancataldese 34 9 10 15 32:43 37
14 Portici 1906 34 8 8 18 32:55 32
15 San Luca 34 6 12 16 37:55 29
16 Locri 1909 34 7 7 20 34:68 28
17 Castrovillari 34 2 12 20 29:76 17
18 Nuova Gioiese 34 3 2 29 18:80 11
19 Lamezia Terme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)