Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Siracusa vs Crotone

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Nicola De Simone, Siracusa
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Contini G.
(Penalty)
38' Event
Zunno M.
45'
Pacciardi F.

AI Match Summary

Crotone in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Crotone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Siracusa
35%
Draws
23%
Crotone
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Siracusa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crotone lately — more wins on the board than Siracusa.
  • Model gives Siracusa a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Siracusa Clean Sheet 68%
Crotone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siracusa Crotone
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 12 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.45 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.59 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Siracusa vs Crotone
1:3
Sep 20, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Siracusa
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siracusa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.8

Crotone Compare

Top Goalscorer Zunno M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vinicius
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siracusa 77 / 100
Crotone 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siracusa Crotone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siracusa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crotone has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Siracusa went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Siracusa's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Siracusa VS Crotone
1.43 Goals Scored 1
0.86 Goals Conceded 1.75
57% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Siracusa

(Home)
27 Sept
Siracusa
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
20 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
0 : 0
Siracusa
16 Sept
Siracusa
2 : 1
Gela
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
06 Sept
Siracusa
4 : 2
Athletic Palermo
Page 1 of 6

Crotone

(Away)
26 Sept
Crotone
2 : 1
Salernitana
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2
Crotone
15 Sept
Crotone
0 : 2
Inter U23
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Crotone
05 Sept
Crotone
2 : 2
Barletta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)