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Siracusa vs Giugliano

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Nicola De Simone, Siracusa
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
De Rosa R.
20'
Pedro Justiniano
26' Event
Arditi G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Siracusa and Giugliano finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siracusa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Siracusa
20%
Draws
34%
Giugliano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Siracusa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Siracusa come out ahead of Giugliano on wins alone.
  • Model gives Siracusa a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Siracusa Clean Sheet 68%
Giugliano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siracusa Giugliano
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 7
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.41 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.76 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Siracusa vs Giugliano
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Giugliano vs Siracusa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siracusa Compare

Top Goalscorer Arditi G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Riccardi P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Giugliano Compare

Top Goalscorer De Rosa R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siracusa 50 / 100
Giugliano 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siracusa Giugliano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siracusa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Giugliano has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Siracusa scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Siracusa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Siracusa VS Giugliano
1.14 Goals Scored 0.88
0.71 Goals Conceded 2.38
43% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Siracusa

(Home)
04 Oct
Milazzo
1 : 0
Siracusa
27 Sept
Siracusa
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
20 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
0 : 0
Siracusa
16 Sept
Siracusa
2 : 1
Gela
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
Page 1 of 6

Giugliano

(Away)
03 Oct
Giugliano
1 : 0
Barletta
19 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 0
Giugliano
15 Sept
Giugliano
5 : 2
Cosenza
11 Sept
Audace Cerignola
4 : 0
Giugliano
05 Sept
Giugliano
0 : 2
Sorrento
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)