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Siracusa vs Lamezia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I Stadio Nicola De Simone, Siracusa
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Siracusa host Lamezia in the Serie D - Group I. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Siracusa have averaged 1.4 scored and 1.3 conceded recently, against Lamezia's 1.38 scored and 1.34 conceded. Head-to-head, Siracusa have won 1 to Lamezia's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 1, 2016, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.13) point toward Siracusa. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Siracusa
30%
Draws
23%
Lamezia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Siracusa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Siracusa come out ahead of Lamezia on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Siracusa taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Siracusa Clean Sheet 20%
Lamezia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siracusa Lamezia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 11 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.4 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2016 Serie D - Group I
Siracusa vs Lamezia
2:0
Dec 13, 2015 Serie D - Group I
Lamezia vs Siracusa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siracusa 76 / 100
Lamezia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siracusa Lamezia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siracusa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Siracusa scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Lamezia conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Siracusa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Siracusa VS Lamezia
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Siracusa

(Home)
04 Oct
Milazzo
1 : 0
Siracusa
27 Sept
Siracusa
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
20 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
0 : 0
Siracusa
16 Sept
Siracusa
2 : 1
Gela
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
Page 1 of 6

Lamezia

(Away)
07 Oct
Lamezia
2 : 3
Gelbison
04 Oct
Lamezia
2 : 0
Castrumfavara
27 Sept
Sambiase
4 : 1
Lamezia
20 Sept
Lamezia
0 : 3
Reggina
16 Sept
USD Ragusa
1 : 1
Lamezia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 6 5 0 1 15:1 15
2 Vibonese 6 4 1 1 15:5 13
3 Sambiase 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Calcio Avola 6 4 0 2 9:10 12
5 Igea Virtus 6 3 2 1 14:11 11
6 Licata 6 3 2 1 8:8 11
7 Digiesse PraiaTortora 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
8 Milazzo 6 3 0 3 5:8 9
9 Athletic Palermo 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
10 Nissa 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 ASD Modica Calcio 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
12 Lamezia 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
13 Siracusa 6 3 2 1 8:5 4
14 Castrumfavara 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
15 Gela 6 1 2 3 4:6 4
16 USD Ragusa 6 0 2 4 4:9 2
17 Trapani 6 2 0 4 3:10 1
18 Enna 6 0 1 5 0:15 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)