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Siracusa vs Salernitana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Nicola De Simone, Siracusa
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Di Paolo S.
5'
Golemic V.
21'
Puzone M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Siracusa and Salernitana finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siracusa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Siracusa
30%
Draws
39%
Salernitana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Salernitana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Salernitana come out ahead of Siracusa on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Siracusa Clean Sheet 20%
Salernitana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siracusa Salernitana
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.41 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.32 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Siracusa vs Salernitana
3:1
Aug 25, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Salernitana vs Siracusa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siracusa Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Paolo S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Contini G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.66

Salernitana Compare

Top Goalscorer Achik I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siracusa 32 / 100
Salernitana 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siracusa Salernitana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Salernitana conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Siracusa found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Siracusa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Siracusa VS Salernitana
1.14 Goals Scored 1.38
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.5
43% Over 1.5 100%
29% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Siracusa

(Home)
04 Oct
Milazzo
1 : 0
Siracusa
27 Sept
Siracusa
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
20 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
0 : 0
Siracusa
16 Sept
Siracusa
2 : 1
Gela
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
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Salernitana

(Away)
04 Oct
Salernitana
2 : 1
Bari
26 Sept
Crotone
2 : 1
Salernitana
19 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 0
Giugliano
15 Sept
Barletta
1 : 1
Salernitana
11 Sept
Salernitana
4 : 2
Potenza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)