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Sirius vs AIK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Studenternas IP, Uppsala
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sirius host AIK in the Allsvenskan. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. AIK have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Sirius have conceded 1.24 and scored 2.14. Head-to-head, Sirius have won 3 to AIK's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.69, favoring Sirius. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sirius
30%
Draws
23%
AIK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sirius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sirius have won more games recently than AIK.
  • Win probability leans Sirius's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Sirius Clean Sheet 13%
AIK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sirius AIK
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.14 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Sirius
0:3
Aug 31, 2025 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Sirius
2:1
Jun 19, 2025 Club Friendly
AIK vs Sirius
1:2
Jun 1, 2025 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs AIK
3:1
Mar 8, 2025 Club Friendly
AIK vs Sirius
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sirius 84 / 100
AIK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sirius AIK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sirius Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sirius found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

AIK has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Sirius remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sirius VS AIK
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sirius

(Home)
02 Oct
Brondby
1 : 1
Sirius
19 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 2
Sirius
14 Sept
Sirius
2 : 0
Degerfors
05 Sept
Vasteras SK
0 : 1
Sirius
31 Aug
Sirius
0 : 1
Malmo FF
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AIK

(Away)
20 Sept
Halmstad
2 : 1
AIK
16 Sept
AIK
1 : 1
Mjallby
12 Sept
AIK
1 : 4
Vasteras SK
07 Sept
Malmo FF
0 : 0
AIK
30 Aug
AIK
3 : 2
Hammarby
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
8 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)