Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sirocco vs Mountjoy

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mountjoy in this Irish Cup 2012/2013 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Sirocco
15%
Draws
42%
Mountjoy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sirocco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Very High Confidence
  • Mountjoy haven't matched Sirocco's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sirocco a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Sirocco have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mountjoy, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Sirocco Clean Sheet 15%
Mountjoy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sirocco Mountjoy
Matches Played 16 7
Wins 5 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.5 0.67
Goals Conceded 2.38 4.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 4.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2012 Irish Cup
Sirocco vs Mountjoy
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sirocco 84 / 100
Mountjoy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sirocco Mountjoy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mountjoy let in goals in 86% of their last 7 matches.

Sirocco scored in 75% of their last 16 games.

Difficult form: Mountjoy registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sirocco VS Mountjoy
1.5 Goals Scored 0.67
2.38 Goals Conceded 4.83
88% Over 1.5 83%
88% Over 2.5 83%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sirocco

(Home)
17 Aug
Sirocco
2 : 3
Seagoe
18 Aug
Banbridge Rangers
2 : 0
Sirocco
30 Sept
Killyleagh Youth
2 : 0
Sirocco
19 Aug
Moneyslane FC
1 : 4
Sirocco
01 Oct
Fivemiletown
4 : 1
Sirocco
Page 1 of 4

Mountjoy

(Away)
28 Jul
Mountjoy
1 : 12
Portadown
14 Jul
Mountjoy
0 : 5
Dungannon
08 Dec
Tobermore
7 : 1
Mountjoy
17 Nov
Sirocco
0 : 1
Mountjoy
19 Nov
Mountjoy
0 : 3
Banbridge Rangers
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Chimney -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Ballynure Old Boys 2
Rathfern Rangers 1
TBD -
Rathfriland Rangers -
Tobermore -
TBD -
Sirocco 0
Mountjoy 1
Drumaness 3
Islandmagee 2
Malachians 3
Kilmore Rec 4
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford Stars -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Immaculata 8
Dunmurry Rec 1
Camlough 2
Ards Rangers 3
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Ballynahinch United 3
Lisburn Rangers 1
TBD -
Ballymoney -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Annagh -
TBD -
Tandragee 0
Rosario Youth 2
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
Newcastle 0
Crumlin Star 2
Portstewart -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Killymoon -
TBD -
Crumlin United 1
Dromara 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
1/32-finals
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Loughgall 2
Chimney 0
TBD -
Donegal -
Institute 1
Dergview 0
Ballynure Old Boys 0
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Tobermore 7
Mountjoy 1
Drumaness -
Kilmore Rec -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
Moyola 0
Coagh Utd 2
Queens University 3
Banbridge 1
Glebe 0
Dundela 1
Glenavon -
TBD -
Oxford Stars 0
Harland & Wolff 2
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Immaculata 5
Ards Rangers 3
Armagh 2
Ards 3
Ballymena -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure 2
Warrenpoint 4
Ballynahinch United 2
Ballymoney 1
TBD -
Coleraine -
Knockbreda 3
Limavady 0
Annagh 3
Rosario Youth 4
Larne 3
Wakehurst 2
Carrick Rangers 0
Lurgan Celtic 1
Bangor FC 3
Crumlin Star 0
Portstewart 2
Ballyclare 3
Killymoon 4
Dromara 2
TBD -
Glentoran -
1/16-finals
Cliftonville 4
Ballinamallard 2
Loughgall 1
Donegal 3
Institute 2
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Tobermore 2
Kilmore Rec 3
Lisburn Distillery 5
Coagh Utd 1
Queens University 3
Dundela 4
Glenavon 5
Harland & Wolff 1
Linfield 3
Crusaders 4
Portadown 2
Dungannon 1
Immaculata 0
Ards 4
Ballymena 2
Warrenpoint 1
Ballynahinch United 0
Coleraine 7
Knockbreda 5
Rosario Youth 1
Larne 2
Lurgan Celtic 5
Bangor FC 3
Ballyclare 2
Killymoon 1
Glentoran 4
1/8-finals
Cliftonville 2
Donegal 0
Institute 0
Kilmore Rec 2
Lisburn Distillery 2
Dundela 1
Glenavon 1
Crusaders 4
Portadown 1
Ards 0
Ballymena 2
Coleraine 3
Knockbreda 3
Lurgan Celtic 0
Bangor FC 2
Glentoran 5
Quarter-finals
Cliftonville 2
Kilmore Rec 0
Lisburn Distillery 2
Crusaders 3
Portadown 3
Coleraine 0
Knockbreda 1
Glentoran 3
Semi-finals
Cliftonville 2
Crusaders 0
Portadown 0
Glentoran 1
Final
Cliftonville 1
Glentoran 3