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Sitra vs Al-Ittihad

Bahrain Bahrain

Bahrain Cup
Thu, Jan 18, 2024
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Sitra go into this one as the clear favorite. Sitra have averaged 0.95 scored and 1.24 conceded recently, against Al-Ittihad's 1.24 scored and 2.28 conceded. Head-to-head, Sitra have won 3 to Al-Ittihad's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Sitra. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Sitra
20%
Draws
0%
Al-Ittihad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sitra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Sitra have won more games recently than Al-Ittihad.
  • Model gives Sitra a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Sitra have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sitra, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sitra Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Ittihad Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sitra Al-Ittihad
Matches Played 38 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 12 1
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 0.95 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.24 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2024 Bahrain Cup
Sitra vs Al-Ittihad
0:0
Nov 9, 2021 Bahrain Cup
Sitra vs Al-Ittihad
3:2
Jan 20, 2017 Bahrain Cup
Sitra vs Al-Ittihad
2:3
Dec 25, 2014 Bahrain Cup
Al-Ittihad vs Sitra
1:2
Apr 9, 2009 Premier League
Sitra vs Al-Ittihad
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sitra 85 / 100
Al-Ittihad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sitra Al-Ittihad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sitra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Ittihad let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Sitra went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Al-Ittihad has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Sitra scored in 61% of their last 38 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sitra VS Al-Ittihad
1 Goals Scored 0.33
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sitra

(Home)
12 Sept
Sitra
0 : 0
Al-Hidd
02 Sept
East Riffa
0 : 0
Sitra
27 Aug
Sitra
3 : 0
Malkia
16 May
Sitra
1 : 0
Malkia
10 May
Al-Shabbab
1 : 3
Sitra
Page 1 of 8

Al-Ittihad

(Away)
30 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 1
Al-Budaiya
25 May
Manama Club
3 : 0
Al-Ittihad
21 May
Al-Najma
2 : 1
Al-Ittihad
11 Jan
Al-Ittihad
1 : 5
Al-Ittifaq
24 Jan
Al-Ittihad
2 : 3
Al-Budaiya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Shabbab 5 4 1 0 14:5 13
2 Al Khalidiyah 5 3 2 0 20:4 11
3 East Riffa 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
4 Umm Al Hassam 4 2 0 2 4:14 6
5 Tadamun Buri 5 1 0 4 4:10 3
6 Al-Ittifaq 4 0 1 3 5:9 1
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manama Club 5 4 1 0 15:3 13
2 Al-Hidd 5 3 1 1 8:1 10
3 Bouri 5 2 1 2 6:9 7
4 Ali CSC 5 2 0 3 8:9 6
5 Al-Hala 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
6 Al Reef 5 0 1 4 1:13 1
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Riffa 5 3 2 0 16:6 11
2 Malkia 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
3 Al-Budaiya 5 3 1 1 9:9 10
4 Al-Najma 5 3 0 2 10:10 9
5 Sitra 4 0 0 4 3:10 0
6 Al-Ittihad 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Muharraq 5 5 0 0 17:3 15
2 Busaiteen 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
3 Al-Ahli 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
4 Isa Town 5 1 1 3 4:8 4
5 Bahrain SC 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
6 Qalali 4 1 0 3 4:18 3
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)