Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sittard U21 vs De Graafschap U21

Netherlands Netherlands

Divisie 1 U21 2025/2026 Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
Sittard U21 Logo

Sittard U21

1 - 1
FT
De Graafschap U21 Logo

De Graafschap U21

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Divisie 1 U21 2025/2026 game between Sittard U21 and De Graafschap U21 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Sittard U21
15%
Draws
76%
De Graafschap U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: De Graafschap U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and De Graafschap U21 come out ahead of Sittard U21 on wins alone.
  • Model gives De Graafschap U21 a 76% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Sittard U21 Clean Sheet 10%
De Graafschap U21 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sittard U21 De Graafschap U21
Matches Played 14 29
Wins 1 14
Draws 2 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1 1.72
Goals Conceded 2.93 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Divisie 1 U21
De Graafschap U21 vs Sittard U21
2:0
Jan 17, 2026 Divisie 1 U21
Sittard U21 vs De Graafschap U21
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sittard U21 10 / 100
De Graafschap U21 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sittard U21 De Graafschap U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick De Graafschap U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sittard U21's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

De Graafschap U21 let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sittard U21 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sittard U21 VS De Graafschap U21
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
3.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sittard U21

(Home)
30 May
Sittard U21
2 : 2
Groningen U21
16 May
FC Twente/Heracles U21
5 : 2
Sittard U21
09 May
Sittard U21
2 : 6
Den Haag U21
02 May
Cambuur U21
5 : 0
Sittard U21
18 Apr
Sittard U21
1 : 4
Willem II U21
Page 1 of 3

De Graafschap U21

(Away)
12 Sept
De Graafschap U21
1 : 0
Cambuur U21
05 Sept
Zwolle U21
1 : 3
De Graafschap U21
29 Aug
De Graafschap U21
1 : 2
Groningen U21
03 Jun
Groningen U21
3 : 1
De Graafschap U21
30 May
De Graafschap U21
3 : 1
Feyenoord U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 De Graafschap U21 14 9 2 3 31:16 29
2 Willem II U21 14 8 2 4 31:24 26
3 Feyenoord U21 14 7 1 6 30:22 22
4 FC Twente/Heracles U21 14 7 1 6 38:32 22
5 Cambuur U21 14 7 1 6 34:29 22
6 Groningen U21 14 6 2 6 22:27 20
7 Den Haag U21 14 5 1 8 26:35 16
8 Sittard U21 14 1 2 11 14:41 5
Promotion - Divisie 1 U21 2025/2026 (Play Offs)