Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sittard U21 vs Willem II U21

Netherlands Netherlands

Divisie 1 U21 2025/2026 Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Willem II U21 in this Divisie 1 U21 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Willem II U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Sittard U21
20%
Draws
64%
Willem II U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Willem II U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Willem II U21 have won more games recently than Sittard U21.
  • Willem II U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Divisie 1 U21 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Sittard U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Willem II U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sittard U21 Willem II U21
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 1 14
Draws 2 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.93 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Divisie 1 U21
Sittard U21 vs Willem II U21
1:4
Jan 24, 2026 Divisie 1 U21
Willem II U21 vs Sittard U21
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sittard U21 10 / 100
Willem II U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sittard U21 Willem II U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Willem II U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Willem II U21 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Sittard U21 scored in 71% of their last 14 outings.

Willem II U21's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sittard U21 VS Willem II U21
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
3.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sittard U21

(Home)
30 May
Sittard U21
2 : 2
Groningen U21
16 May
FC Twente/Heracles U21
5 : 2
Sittard U21
09 May
Sittard U21
2 : 6
Den Haag U21
02 May
Cambuur U21
5 : 0
Sittard U21
18 Apr
Sittard U21
1 : 4
Willem II U21
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Willem II U21

(Away)
19 Sept
Willem II U21
0 : 2
De Graafschap U21
13 Sept
Willem II U21
2 : 3
Feyenoord U21
05 Sept
Cambuur U21
3 : 3
Willem II U21
29 Aug
Willem II U21
0 : 1
Zwolle U21
30 May
Willem II U21
3 : 2
FC Twente/Heracles U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 De Graafschap U21 14 9 2 3 31:16 29
2 Willem II U21 14 8 2 4 31:24 26
3 Feyenoord U21 14 7 1 6 30:22 22
4 FC Twente/Heracles U21 14 7 1 6 38:32 22
5 Cambuur U21 14 7 1 6 34:29 22
6 Groningen U21 14 6 2 6 22:27 20
7 Den Haag U21 14 5 1 8 26:35 16
8 Sittard U21 14 1 2 11 14:41 5
Promotion - Divisie 1 U21 2025/2026 (Play Offs)