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Sittard W vs PSV W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2024/2025 Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Dinkla C.
50'
van Koot M.
51' Event
Xhemaili R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie Women 2024/2025 game between Sittard W and PSV W finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PSV W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sittard W
20%
Draws
47%
PSV W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PSV W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • PSV W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Eredivisie Women 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors PSV W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Sittard W Clean Sheet 15%
PSV W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sittard W PSV W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 22
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.17 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.97 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Sittard W vs PSV W
0:3
Dec 14, 2024 Eredivisie Women
PSV W vs Sittard W
3:0
Mar 2, 2024 Eredivisie Women
PSV W vs Sittard W
3:0
Oct 14, 2023 Eredivisie Women
Sittard W vs PSV W
1:0
Feb 12, 2023 Eredivisie Women
Sittard W vs PSV W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sittard W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

PSV W Compare

Top Goalscorer Xhemaili R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kalma F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sittard W 31 / 100
PSV W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sittard W PSV W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Sittard W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Sittard W scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: PSV W conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS PSV W
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sittard W

(Home)
16 May
Den Haag W
2 : 0
Sittard W
03 May
Sittard W
0 : 3
PSV W
19 Apr
Sittard W
5 : 0
Telstar W
29 Mar
Feyenoord W
1 : 2
Sittard W
23 Mar
Sittard W
0 : 0
SBV Excelsior W
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PSV W

(Away)
04 Oct
Den Haag W
0 : 3
PSV W
30 Sept
Fortuna Hjorring W
0 : 0
PSV W
26 Sept
PSV W
4 : 0
De Graafschap W
23 Sept
PSV W
1 : 0
Fortuna Hjorring W
19 Sept
PSV W
0 : 4
Twente W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Twente W 22 18 3 1 69:19 57
2 PSV W 22 18 3 1 58:13 57
3 Ajax W 22 17 2 3 57:22 53
4 Utrecht W 22 12 4 6 39:22 40
5 Feyenoord W 22 12 2 8 55:29 38
6 AZ Alkmaar W 22 11 3 8 40:31 36
7 Den Haag W 22 5 6 11 25:43 21
8 Sittard W 22 5 5 12 20:42 20
9 Heerenveen W 22 4 3 15 24:48 15
10 PEC Zwolle W 22 3 5 14 15:44 14
11 Telstar W 22 2 5 15 22:59 11
12 SBV Excelsior W 22 1 7 14 16:68 10
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2025/2026 (Qualification)