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Stadium Background

Sittingbourne vs Faversham

England England

FA Trophy 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Sittingbourne advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sittingbourne
6%
Draws
4%
Faversham
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sittingbourne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sittingbourne come out ahead of Faversham on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Sittingbourne taking it.
  • Sittingbourne have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Faversham, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sittingbourne here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Sittingbourne Clean Sheet 14%
Faversham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sittingbourne Faversham
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 FA Trophy
Sittingbourne vs Faversham
2:1
Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Faversham vs Sittingbourne
1:4
Jul 18, 2023 Club Friendly
Sittingbourne vs Faversham
0:1
Oct 13, 2018 FA Trophy
Faversham vs Sittingbourne
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sittingbourne 84 / 100
Faversham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sittingbourne Faversham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sittingbourne scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Faversham let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Sittingbourne went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sittingbourne VS Faversham
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sittingbourne

(Home)
21 Jul
Tonbridge
2 : 2
Sittingbourne
15 Nov
Ebbsfleet
2 : 1
Sittingbourne
25 Oct
Sittingbourne
2 : 1
Cray Valley
04 Oct
Sittingbourne
1 : 0
Hashtag
20 Sept
Crowborough
1 : 6
Sittingbourne
Page 1 of 6

Faversham

(Away)
25 Jul
Faversham
0 : 2
Dartford
27 Sept
Ebbsfleet
2 : 1
Faversham
13 Sept
Maidenhead
0 : 1
Faversham
06 Sept
Sittingbourne
2 : 1
Faversham
02 Sept
Hastings
0 : 3
Faversham
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Hyde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrington Town -
Ashton United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Congleton Town 3
Vauxhall 1
Avro 1
Clitheroe 3
Bootle 2
Witton Albion 3
Dunston 4
Brighouse Town 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrington Rylands -
Workington -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Stockton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stalybridge 2
Trafford 0
Pontefract Collieries 0
Lower Breck 2
Silsden 1
Atherton Collieries 0
Ossett United 1
Nantwich 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stocksbridge -
Runcorn Linnets 2
Garforth 1
Wythenshawe Town 1
Bury FC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Morpeth -
Widnes FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Bridlington Town 1
Mossley AFC 0
North Ferriby FC 1
Blyth Spartans 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guiseley -
Bradford PA 2
Redcar Athletic 1
Consett 4
Hallam 0
Heaton Stannington 2
AFC Emley 0
Newton Aycliffe 3
Blyth Town 0
Whitby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hebburn Town -
Prescot Cables -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
Evesham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ilkeston -
Gainsborough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shifnal Town 1
Chasetown 0
Long Eaton 2
Carlton Town 3
Barwell -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromsgrove -
Sporting Club Inkberrow FC 1
Neots 0
Stafford 1
Boldmere St Michaels 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stratford -
Rushall -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spalding United -
Bedworth United 1
Darlaston Town (1874) 0
Shepshed 0
Anstey Nomads 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge -
Quorn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lichfield City 1
Corby 2
Sutton Coldfield Town 3
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Real Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stamford -
Coleshill Town 1
Sporting Khalsa 0
Bourne 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2
Coventry Sphinx 0
Lincoln Utd. 2
Malvern Town 5
Loughborough Students 1
Halesowen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leek Town -
St Ives Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kettering -
Worcester -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rugby 4
Racing Club Warwick 1
Belper Town 2
Newcastle Town 1
Matlock 3
Grimsby Borough 0
Mickleover 2
Basford Utd. 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alvechurch -
Harborough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hednesford -
Cleethorpes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Redditch -
Stanway Rovers 4
Aylesbury United 0
Stotfold 0
Mildenhall 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Uxbridge -
Royston Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Welling -
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grays 2
Milton Keynes Irish 1
Hertford Town 1
Felixstowe & Walton 3
Westfield 4
Margate 2
Bognor Regis 3
Sevenoaks 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentwood -
Leatherhead 4
Raynes Park Vale 0
Kingstonian 1
Merstham 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ramsgate -
Aveley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Albans -
Carshalton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheshunt -
South Park 1
Broadbridge Heath 2
Bedfont Sports 1
Horndean 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Billericay -
Ware 1
Hadley 5
Ascot United 2
Three Bridges 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dartford -
Harrow Borough 1
Eastbourne Town 0
Jersey Bulls 3
Hastings 1
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Cambridge City 3
FC Witham Town 3
Newmarket 2
Lewes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiston -
Cray Valley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Berkhamsted Town -
Sudbury -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bury Town -
Chertsey Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Takeley 0
Welwyn Garden 2
London Lions 0
Tilbury 3
Burgess Hill -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potters -
Stortford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Wingate & Finchley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
East Grinstead Town 4
Binfield 3
VCD Athletic 1
Rayners Lane 0
Chatham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Needham Market -
Erith Town 1
Deal Town 2
Herne Bay 0
Ashford United 3
Concord Rangers 2
Biggleswade FC 3
Biggleswade Town 1
Hitchin 3
Hayes & Yeading 1
Metropolitan Police 0
Southall FC 1
Whyteleafe 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Walton & Hersham -
Hassocks 1
Crowborough 3
Sittingbourne 2
Faversham 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hashtag -
Redbridge 1
Waltham Abbey 4
Lowestoft 2
Leverstock Green 0
Walthamstow FC 3
Dowham Town FC 2
Brightlingsea 0
Leighton Town 3
Whitehawk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Canvey Island -
Dulwich Hamlet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Northwood 0
Beckenham Town 1
Littlehampton 1
Hendon 2
Enfield FC 1
Wroxham 0
Maldon & Tiptree 0
AFC Dunstable 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Folkestone -
Bracknell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hungerford -
Basingstoke -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bristol Manor Farm 0
Shaftesbury Town 2
Brixham 0
Falmouth Town 4
Hartpury University 2
Didcot 1
Portishead Town 4
Melksham 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gloucester City -
Plymouth Parkway -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Dorchester -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Exmouth Town 1
Swindon Supermarine 2
Bideford 3
Mousehole 1
Moneyfields 2
Thame United 3
Winchester City 2
Frome Town 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury -
Fareham 4
Beaconsfield Town 1
Willand Rovers 1
Bishops Cleeve 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sholing -
Yate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Poole Town -
Portchester 1
Flackwell Heath 0
Tavistock 2
Larkhall 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Taunton Town -
Chichester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Farnham -
Havant & Waterlooville -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tiverton -
Wimborne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Weymouth -
Semi-finals
Hyde -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrington Town -
Ashton United -
TBD -
FC Congleton Town 1
Clitheroe 3
Witton Albion 0
Dunston 1
TBD -
Warrington Rylands -
Workington -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Stockton -
TBD -
Stalybridge 0
Lower Breck 3
Silsden 3
Nantwich 0
TBD -
Stocksbridge -
Runcorn Linnets 7
Bury FC 0
TBD -
Morpeth -
Widnes FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Bridlington Town 2
North Ferriby FC 0
TBD -
Guiseley -
Bradford PA 2
Consett 0
Heaton Stannington 4
Newton Aycliffe 0
Whitby -
TBD -
TBD -
Hebburn Town -
Prescot Cables -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
Evesham -
TBD -
TBD -
Ilkeston -
Gainsborough -
TBD -
Shifnal Town 2
Carlton Town 1
Barwell -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromsgrove -
Sporting Club Inkberrow FC 4
Stafford 3
TBD -
Stratford -
Rushall -
TBD -
TBD -
Spalding United -
Bedworth United 0
Anstey Nomads 3
TBD -
Stourbridge -
Quorn -
TBD -
Corby 3
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Real Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
Stamford -
Coleshill Town 3
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 4
Lincoln Utd. 0
Malvern Town 2
Halesowen -
TBD -
TBD -
Leek Town -
St Ives Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Kettering -
Worcester -
TBD -
Rugby 3
Belper Town 2
Matlock 1
Basford Utd. 2
TBD -
Alvechurch -
Harborough -
TBD -
TBD -
Hednesford -
Cleethorpes -
TBD -
TBD -
Redditch -
Stanway Rovers 3
Mildenhall 0
TBD -
Uxbridge -
Royston Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Welling -
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
Grays 2
Felixstowe & Walton 0
Westfield 2
Bognor Regis 1
TBD -
Brentwood -
Leatherhead 2
Kingstonian 0
TBD -
Ramsgate -
Aveley -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Albans -
Carshalton -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheshunt -
Broadbridge Heath 2
Bedfont Sports 1
TBD -
Billericay -
Hadley 3
Ascot United 2
TBD -
Dartford -
Harrow Borough 4
Jersey Bulls 0
Cambridge City 3
FC Witham Town 4
Lewes -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiston -
Cray Valley -
TBD -
TBD -
Berkhamsted Town -
Sudbury -
TBD -
TBD -
Bury Town -
Chertsey Town -
TBD -
Welwyn Garden 2
Tilbury 3
Burgess Hill -
TBD -
TBD -
Potters -
Stortford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Wingate & Finchley -
TBD -
East Grinstead Town 1
VCD Athletic 2
Chatham -
TBD -
TBD -
Needham Market -
Deal Town 2
Ashford United 3
Biggleswade FC 3
Hitchin 1
Hayes & Yeading 5
Southall FC 1
TBD -
Walton & Hersham -
Crowborough 1
Sittingbourne 6
TBD -
Hashtag -
Waltham Abbey 4
Lowestoft 1
Walthamstow FC 5
Leighton Town 3
Whitehawk -
TBD -
TBD -
Canvey Island -
Dulwich Hamlet -
TBD -
Beckenham Town 2
Hendon 5
Enfield FC 1
AFC Dunstable 3
TBD -
Folkestone -
Bracknell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Hungerford -
Basingstoke -
TBD -
Shaftesbury Town 3
Falmouth Town 2
Hartpury University 4
Portishead Town 2
TBD -
Gloucester City -
Plymouth Parkway -
TBD -
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Dorchester -
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine 1
Bideford 2
Thame United 3
Winchester City 1
TBD -
Banbury -
Fareham 2
Bishops Cleeve 4
TBD -
Sholing -
Yate -
TBD -
TBD -
Poole Town -
Portchester 3
Tavistock 0
TBD -
Taunton Town -
Chichester City -
TBD -
TBD -
Farnham -
Havant & Waterlooville -
TBD -
TBD -
Tiverton -
Wimborne -
TBD -
TBD -
Weymouth -
Final
Hyde 1
Warrington Town 0
Ashton United 1
Clitheroe 2
Dunston 2
Warrington Rylands 1
Workington 0
United of Manchester 2
Stockton 2
Lower Breck 0
Silsden 1
Stocksbridge 2
Runcorn Linnets 1
Morpeth 2
Widnes FC 0
Bamber Bridge 3
Bridlington Town 2
Guiseley 4
Bradford PA 2
Heaton Stannington 1
Whitby 1
Hebburn Town 2
Prescot Cables 2
Lancaster 0
Evesham 0
Ilkeston 2
Gainsborough 3
Shifnal Town 2
Barwell 0
Bromsgrove 3
Sporting Club Inkberrow FC 1
Stratford 2
Rushall 0
Spalding United 2
Anstey Nomads 3
Stourbridge 2
Quorn 2
Corby 3
Real Bedford 3
Stamford 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Malvern Town 1
Halesowen 1
Leek Town 2
St Ives Town 1
Kettering 0
Worcester 3
Rugby 2
Basford Utd. 0
Alvechurch 1
Harborough 2
Hednesford 0
Cleethorpes 0
Redditch 1
Stanway Rovers 1
Uxbridge 0
Royston Town 0
Welling 3
Hanwell Town 2
Grays 1
Westfield 1
Brentwood 2
Leatherhead 4
Ramsgate 1
Aveley 0
St. Albans 2
Carshalton 1
Cheshunt 2
Broadbridge Heath 1
Billericay 3
Hadley 2
Dartford 1
Harrow Borough 3
FC Witham Town 1
Lewes 1
Leiston 2
Cray Valley 1
Berkhamsted Town 0
Sudbury 4
Bury Town 0
Chertsey Town 1
Tilbury 2
Burgess Hill 2
Potters 1
Stortford 4
Cray Wanderers 0
Wingate & Finchley 4
VCD Athletic 1
Chatham 1
Needham Market 0
Ashford United 4
Biggleswade FC 3
Hayes & Yeading 0
Walton & Hersham 1
Sittingbourne 1
Hashtag 0
Waltham Abbey 6
Walthamstow FC 0
Whitehawk 0
Canvey Island 2
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Hendon 1
AFC Dunstable 1
Folkestone 3
Bracknell Town 6
Hungerford 3
Basingstoke 2
Shaftesbury Town 1
Hartpury University 0
Gloucester City 1
Plymouth Parkway 3
Gosport Borough 2
Dorchester 4
Bideford 0
Thame United 0
Banbury 2
Bishops Cleeve 2
Sholing 1
Yate 1
Poole Town 2
Portchester 2
Taunton Town 1
Chichester City 2
Farnham 4
Havant & Waterlooville 4
Tiverton 2
Wimborne 2
Weymouth 0