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Sivas Dort vs Bayburt Ozel Idare - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Aras F.
(Penalty)
42' Event
Calap B.
90' Event
Calisir T.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 2023/2024 game between Sivas Dort and Bayburt Ozel Idare finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sivas Dort.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Sivas Dort
15%
Draws
64%
Bayburt Ozel Idare
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayburt Ozel Idare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Sivas Dort have managed 0.83 goals a game lately — Bayburt Ozel Idare are scoring more at 0.89.
  • Model gives Sivas Dort a 21% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Sivas Dort Clean Sheet 68%
Bayburt Ozel Idare Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sivas Dort Bayburt Ozel Idare
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 6 6
Draws 5 14
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0.83 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 3. Lig Group 3
Bayburt Ozel Idare vs Sivas Dort
2:1
Dec 10, 2023 3. Lig Group 3
Sivas Dort vs Bayburt Ozel Idare
2:1
Apr 19, 2023 2. Lig White Group
Sivas Dort vs Bayburt Ozel Idare
1:2
Nov 13, 2022 2. Lig White Group
Bayburt Ozel Idare vs Sivas Dort
2:1
Feb 6, 2022 2. Lig Red Group
Sivas Dort vs Bayburt Ozel Idare
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sivas Dort Compare

Top Goalscorer Calisir T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Bayburt Ozel Idare Compare

Top Goalscorer Calap B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sivas Dort 86 / 100
Bayburt Ozel Idare 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sivas Dort Bayburt Ozel Idare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sivas Dort Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sivas Dort's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bayburt Ozel Idare conceded in 75% of 36 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Bayburt Ozel Idare lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bayburt Ozel Idare
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sivas Dort

(Home)
27 Apr
Sivas Dort
1 : 1
Karakopru
21 Apr
Bayburt Ozel Idare
2 : 1
Sivas Dort
14 Apr
Sivas Dort
0 : 2
1922 Konyaspor
07 Apr
Silivrispor
1 : 0
Sivas Dort
03 Apr
Sivas Dort
1 : 3
Kutahyaspor
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Bayburt Ozel Idare

(Away)
03 Sept
Bayburt Ozel Idare
0 : 7
Giresunspor
26 Apr
Bayburt Ozel Idare
1 : 0
Alanya 1221
20 Apr
Cankaya FK
4 : 1
Bayburt Ozel Idare
13 Apr
Bayburt Ozel Idare
0 : 3
Aliaga
06 Apr
Pazarspor
3 : 0
Bayburt Ozel Idare
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karakopru 28 17 9 2 51:24 60
2 Erbaaspor 28 16 9 3 55:21 57
3 Silivrispor 28 14 9 5 38:22 51
4 Bornova 1877 28 15 5 8 47:33 50
5 Kusadasispor 28 12 9 7 36:28 45
6 Kutahyaspor 28 11 11 6 40:25 44
7 Tepecik 28 10 9 9 29:30 39
8 Agri 1970 28 10 9 9 36:35 39
9 Fatsa Bld. 28 9 10 9 24:27 37
10 Osmaniyespor 28 8 5 15 29:34 29
11 1922 Konyaspor 28 7 7 14 25:30 28
12 Bayburt Ozel Idare 28 6 10 12 18:38 28
13 Darica Genclerbirligi 28 6 7 15 18:33 25
14 Akhisarspor 28 5 4 19 25:67 19
15 Sivas Dort 28 5 5 18 22:46 17
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)