Sport Picks

Turkey

Turkish Cup Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu, Sivas

Sivasspor

1 - 3

Aliaga

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Karaahmet M.

Assist: Gumus Y.

23'

Ozdemir N.

28'

Malle A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Sivasspor

30%

Draws

39%

Aliaga

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aliaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence

Aliaga have won more games recently than Sivasspor.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Aliaga arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Aliaga, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Sivasspor Clean Sheet 10%

Aliaga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sivasspor	Aliaga
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	11	15
Draws	7	7
Losses	11	8
Goals Scored	1.17	2.13
Goals Conceded	1.24	1.47
Expected Goals (xG)	1.56	2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2025 Turkish Cup

Sivasspor vs Aliaga

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sivasspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Avramovski D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.2

Avg xA / game 0.78

Aliaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Karaahmet M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Acikgoz M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.87

Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sivasspor 30 / 100

Aliaga 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sivasspor Aliaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aliaga Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Sivasspor scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Aliaga conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Sivasspor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sivasspor VS Aliaga

1.38 Goals Scored 2.63

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75

75% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sivasspor

(Home)

08 Aug

Sivasspor

0 : 0

Erokspor

02 May

Bandirmaspor

1 : 0

Sivasspor

26 Apr

Sivasspor

2 : 1

Igdir FK

19 Apr

Corum FK

3 : 1

Sivasspor

13 Apr

Sivasspor

1 : 3

Istanbulspor AS

Page 1 of 6

Aliaga

(Away)

04 May

Musspor

1 : 0

Aliaga

30 Apr

Aliaga

1 : 1

Musspor

25 Apr

Aliaga

0 : 5

Bursaspor

19 Apr

Aksaray Bld.

1 : 1

Aliaga

12 Apr

Aliaga

5 : 0

Menemenspor

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Karakopru 7

Hakkari Zap 1

Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 0

Bitlis 1916 3

TBD -

Rizespor -

Duzcespor -

TBD -

Pendikspor -

Corluspor -

TBD -

Ayvalikgucu -

Silifke -

TBD -

K. Istklalspor 2

Kilis Bld. 1

TBD -

Amedspor -

Antalyaspor -

TBD -

Etimesgut 0

Karadeniz Eregli 1

Bursaspor 7

Bilecik Sogut Spor Kulubu 0

Trabzonspor -

TBD -

Kastamonuspor -

TBD -

Yozgat 1

Fatsa Bld. 2

TBD -

Vanspor FK -

Bucaspor 1928 0

Izmir Coruhlu 2

Isparta 32 Spor 4

Kirsehir SK 0

Silivrispor -

TBD -

Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 1

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2

TBD -

Goztepe -

Dersim Spor 3

Adanaspor AS 0

Kurtalanspor 1

Sanliurfaspor 4

Kestel Cilekspor 2

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 1

Fethiyespor 2

Soke 1970 0

TBD -

Bandirmaspor -

Musspor 8

Sirnak 0

TBD -

Mazidagi -

Menemenspor -

TBD -

Bartinspor 1

Eskisehir Anadolu 3

Konyaspor -

TBD -

Elazigspor -

TBD -

12 Bingol Spor 3

Mardin 1969 0

Arnavutkoy Bl. 2

Beykoz Ishakli Spor 3

TBD -

Karacabey Bld. -

Malatya 5

Yeni Malatyaspor 0

TBD -

Adana 01 -

TBD -

Kocaelispor -

Kirklarelispor 1

Galata Spor Kulubu 2

TBD -

Beykoz Anadolu -

Balikesirspor -

TBD -

Yesil Yalova FK 2

Gemlikspor 0

Gaziantep -

TBD -

Ankaragucu 2

Karabuk Idmanyurdu 3

Guzide Gebzespor 6

Bulvarspor 2

Kars 36 Spor 0

24Erzincanspor 1

Bulancakspor 2

Hopaspor 1

TBD -

Igdir FK -

TBD -

Orduspor 1967 -

TBD -

Erbaaspor 2

Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1

TBD -

Pazarspor -

Sakaryaspor -

TBD -

Kucukcekmece -

TBD -

Inegolspor 2

Ezinespor 0

TBD -

Genclerbirligi -

Istanbulspor AS -

TBD -

Bayburt Ozel Idare 0

Giresunspor 7

TBD -

52 Orduspor -

TBD -

Sariyer -

Boluspor -

TBD -

Kahta 2

Iskenderunspor 1

TBD -

Adanademirspor -

TBD -

Kasimpasa -

Erokspor -

TBD -

Agri 1970 -

TBD -

Batman Petrolspor -

TBD -

F. Karagumruk -

Eyupspor -

TBD -

Edirnespor Genclik 0

Soma Spor 3

1926 Polatli Belediye 1

Cankaya FK 2

Amasyaspor -

TBD -

Trabzon FK 4

Serhat Ardahanspor 0

Kahramanmarasspor 1

Osmaniyespor 0

Karaman FK 2

Suvermez Kapadokyaspor 1

TBD -

Umraniyespor -

TBD -

Erzurumspor FK -

Corum FK -

TBD -

Kutahyaspor -

TBD -

Altinordu -

Karsiyaka -

TBD -

Bursa Yildirimspor 2

Altay 0

TBD -

Alanyaspor -

Bucak Belediyesi 1

Kepez Bld. 2

Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 2

Nazillispor 0

Sivasspor -

TBD -

Cayeli SK 1

Siran Yildizspor Kulubu 2

Bornova 1877 3

Afyonspor 0

Aliaga 2

Inegol Kafkas 1

TBD -

Serik Spor -

Hatayspor -

TBD -

Erciyes 38 2

Turk Metal 1963 0

TBD -

Keciorengucu -

Kayserispor -

TBD -

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 0

Nigde 2

TBD -

Aksaray Bld. -

Kirikkale FK -

TBD -

Manisa FK -

Ankaraspor 1

Eskisehirspor 2

Alanya 1221 0

Muglaspor 3

1074 Cankirispor 0

Ankara Demirspor 3

TBD -

Zonguldak Komurspor -

Tire 2021 FK -

TBD -

Bodrumspor -

Quarter-finals

Karakopru 2

Bitlis 1916 1

TBD -

Rizespor -

Duzcespor 3

Pendikspor 4

Corluspor 2

Ayvalikgucu 1

Silifke 7

K. Istklalspor 1

TBD -

Amedspor -

Antalyaspor -

TBD -

Karadeniz Eregli 1

Bursaspor 2

Trabzonspor -

TBD -

Kastamonuspor 3

Fatsa Bld. 4

TBD -

Vanspor FK -

Izmir Coruhlu 0

Isparta 32 Spor 3

Silivrispor 1

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2

TBD -

Goztepe -

Dersim Spor 2

Sanliurfaspor 0

Kestel Cilekspor 0

Fethiyespor 1

TBD -

Bandirmaspor -

Musspor 5

Mazidagi 0

Menemenspor 2

Eskisehir Anadolu 1

Konyaspor -

TBD -

Elazigspor 2

12 Bingol Spor 3

Beykoz Ishakli Spor 0

Karacabey Bld. 2

Malatya 3

Adana 01 2

TBD -

Kocaelispor -

Galata Spor Kulubu 1

Beykoz Anadolu 5

Balikesirspor 1

Yesil Yalova FK 2

Gaziantep -

TBD -

Karabuk Idmanyurdu 1

Guzide Gebzespor 0

24Erzincanspor 0

Bulancakspor 2

TBD -

Igdir FK -

Orduspor 1967 -

TBD -

Erbaaspor 2

Pazarspor 0

Sakaryaspor -

TBD -

Kucukcekmece 1

Inegolspor 3

TBD -

Genclerbirligi -

Istanbulspor AS -

TBD -

Giresunspor 1

52 Orduspor 2

TBD -

Sariyer -

Boluspor -

TBD -

Kahta 2

Adanademirspor 1

TBD -

Kasimpasa -

Erokspor -

TBD -

Agri 1970 4

Batman Petrolspor 1

TBD -

F. Karagumruk -

Eyupspor -

TBD -

Soma Spor 1

Cankaya FK 3

Amasyaspor 0

Trabzon FK 1

Kahramanmarasspor 1

Karaman FK 0

TBD -

Umraniyespor -

TBD -

Erzurumspor FK -

Corum FK -

TBD -

Kutahyaspor 3

Altinordu 1

Karsiyaka 0

Bursa Yildirimspor 1

TBD -

Alanyaspor -

Kepez Bld. 1

Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 0

Sivasspor 2

Siran Yildizspor Kulubu 1

Bornova 1877 0

Aliaga 6

TBD -

Serik Spor -

Hatayspor 2

Erciyes 38 3

TBD -

Keciorengucu -

Kayserispor -

TBD -

Nigde 3

Aksaray Bld. 1

Kirikkale FK 0

Manisa FK 2

Eskisehirspor 0

Muglaspor 3

Ankara Demirspor 2

Zonguldak Komurspor 3

Tire 2021 FK 0

Bodrumspor 1

Semi-finals

Karakopru 0

Rizespor 3

Pendikspor 3

Corluspor 2

Silifke 3

Amedspor 0

Antalyaspor 3

Bursaspor 0

Trabzonspor -

TBD -

Fatsa Bld. 3

Vanspor FK 4

Isparta 32 Spor 0

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2

TBD -

Goztepe -

Dersim Spor 0

Fethiyespor 3

TBD -

Bandirmaspor -

Musspor 1

Menemenspor 0

Konyaspor 4

12 Bingol Spor 2

Karacabey Bld. 3

Malatya 1

TBD -

Kocaelispor -

Beykoz Anadolu 1

Yesil Yalova FK 3

Gaziantep 2

Karabuk Idmanyurdu 0

Bulancakspor 1

Igdir FK 3

Orduspor 1967 4

Erbaaspor 2

Sakaryaspor 4

Inegolspor 0

TBD -

Genclerbirligi -

Istanbulspor AS -

TBD -

52 Orduspor 0

Sariyer 2

Boluspor -

TBD -

Kahta 3

Kasimpasa 1

Erokspor 3

Agri 1970 0

TBD -

F. Karagumruk -

Eyupspor -

TBD -

Cankaya FK 2

Trabzon FK 0

Kahramanmarasspor 4

Umraniyespor 0

TBD -

Erzurumspor FK -

Corum FK 3

Kutahyaspor 0

Bursa Yildirimspor 1

Alanyaspor 2

Kepez Bld. 1

Sivasspor 3

Aliaga 4

Serik Spor 3

Erciyes 38 2

Keciorengucu 5

Kayserispor 1

Nigde 0

Manisa FK 0

Muglaspor 2

Zonguldak Komurspor 0

Bodrumspor 5

Final

Rizespor 6

Pendikspor 1

Silifke 0

Antalyaspor 1

Trabzonspor 2

Vanspor FK 0

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 1

Goztepe 0

Fethiyespor 4

Bandirmaspor 1

Musspor 1

Konyaspor 4

Karacabey Bld. 1

Kocaelispor 2

Yesil Yalova FK 0

Gaziantep 2

Igdir FK 3

Orduspor 1967 2

Sakaryaspor 0

Genclerbirligi 5

Istanbulspor AS 6

Sariyer 0

Boluspor 2

Kahta 1

Erokspor 2

F. Karagumruk 5

Eyupspor 6

Cankaya FK 1

Kahramanmarasspor 1

Erzurumspor FK 3

Corum FK 0

Alanyaspor 5

Sivasspor 1

Aliaga 3

Keciorengucu 2

Kayserispor 0

Muglaspor 1

Bodrumspor 2

Sivasspor vs Aliaga

Turkey

Sivasspor

Aliaga

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Sivasspor Compare

Aliaga Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Sivasspor

Aliaga

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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