Sport Picks

Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu

Sivasspor

3 - 3

Vanspor FK

Our Tip

Match Events

Appindangoye A.

Assist: Ethemi V.

13'

Destici S.

22'

Sub

Ciftci U. In: Celik M.

Out: Ciftci U.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 1. Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Sivasspor

44%

Draws

20%

Vanspor FK

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Sivasspor have won more games recently than Vanspor FK.
44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%

Sivasspor Clean Sheet 16%

Vanspor FK Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sivasspor	Vanspor FK
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	13	11
Draws	7	5
Losses	11	14
Goals Scored	1.13	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 1. Lig

Sivasspor vs Vanspor FK

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 4 - 3

3:3

Sep 20, 2025 1. Lig

Vanspor FK vs Sivasspor

Possession: 43% - 50% Cards: 4 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sivasspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Manaj R.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Appindangoye A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Vanspor FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Mamah K.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Cavusoglu M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sivasspor 36 / 100

Vanspor FK 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sivasspor Vanspor FK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VFK Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sivasspor scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Vanspor FK let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Vanspor FK lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sivasspor VS Vanspor FK

1.13 Goals Scored 1.38

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13

63% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Erzurumspor FK	38	23	12	3	82:27	81
2	Amedspor	38	21	11	6	81:42	74
3	Erokspor	38	21	11	6	81:35	74
4	Corum FK	38	21	8	9	63:39	71
5	Bodrumspor	38	18	10	10	71:39	64
6	Pendikspor	38	16	15	7	58:33	63
7	Keciorengucu	38	16	12	10	73:43	60
8	Bandirmaspor	38	16	12	10	47:34	60
9	Manisa FK	38	16	7	15	57:56	55
10	Sivasspor	38	14	11	13	47:43	53
11	Istanbulspor AS	38	13	13	12	57:55	52
12	Sariyer	38	15	7	16	44:44	52
13	Igdir FK	38	13	11	14	52:54	50
14	Vanspor FK	38	13	10	15	52:47	49
15	Boluspor	38	14	6	18	61:57	48
16	Umraniyespor	38	13	7	18	47:51	46
17	Serik Spor	38	11	6	21	44:75	39
18	Sakaryaspor	38	8	10	20	45:72	34
19	Hatayspor	38	2	8	28	33:102	14
20	Adanademirspor	38	1	3	34	22:169	-54