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Sjalevads W vs Umea Sodra W

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 Women 2006
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sjalevads W play Umea Sodra W in the Division 1 Women 2006. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sjalevads W averaged 1.23 goals scored and 3.23 conceded. Umea Sodra W averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.63 conceded. In past meetings, Sjalevads W won 0, Umea Sodra W won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 20, 2011 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.02 for Sjalevads W and 2.17 for Umea Sodra W. This points to a Umea Sodra W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sjalevads W
15%
Draws
55%
Umea Sodra W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Umea Sodra W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Sjalevads W picked up more points recently compared to Umea Sodra W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.02 vs 2.17 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Sjalevads W Clean Sheet 10%
Umea Sodra W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sjalevads W Umea Sodra W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 9
Draws 3 2
Losses 21 21
Goals Scored 1.23 1.03
Goals Conceded 3.23 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.80 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.20 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2011 Elitettan Women
Sjalevads W vs Umea Sodra W
1:3
Jun 8, 2011 Elitettan Women
Umea Sodra W vs Sjalevads W
2:1
Aug 30, 2006 Elitettan Women
Sjalevads W vs Umea Sodra W
0:3
Jun 7, 2006 Elitettan Women
Umea Sodra W vs Sjalevads W
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sjalevads W 29 / 100
Umea Sodra W 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sjalevads W Umea Sodra W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umea Sodra W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Umea Sodra W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.37
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sjalevads W attacking → ← attacking Umea Sodra W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sjalevads W scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Umea Sodra W let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Sjalevads W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Umea Sodra W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 29
1.80 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
3.20 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1AIK W22181383:2855
2Umea Sodra W22144459:2346
3Ornas W22113843:3236
4Sundsvall W22106645:3636
5Gideonsberg W2297642:2434
6Pitea W2296737:3833
7Danmarks W22921131:4529
8Vasalund W22751038:4826
9Bollstanas W22741137:3725
10Alviks W22551224:5520
11Sjalevads W22531420:6018
12Enskede W22421625:5814
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Falkopings W22144462:2246
2Kristianstad W22143554:3045
3Husie W22135441:2144
4Eskilstuna United W22124651:3740
5Stattena W22113857:4136
6Oster W2298542:3035
7Holmalunds W22931036:3730
8Dalsjofors W22731231:4624
9Gauthiod W22661029:4524
10Glanshammars W22571025:3922
11Norvalla W22521528:6017
12Almhults W22141719:677