Sport Picks
SKA-1938 Minsk vs ML Vitebsk
Belarus
Belarusian Cup RCOP-BGU Stadium, Minsk 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Bulanov M. In: Lisakovich R.
Out: Bulanov M.
54'
54'
Prigodich V.
57'
57'
Korytko M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-5. The second leg ended 3-5.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
30%
30%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SKA-1938 Minsk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- SKA-1938 Minsk carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans SKA-1938 Minsk's way, sitting at 42%.
- SKA-1938 Minsk have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor ML Vitebsk, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and ML Vitebsk have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
SKA-1938 Minsk Clean Sheet 20%
ML Vitebsk Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SKA-1938 Minsk | ML Vitebsk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2.17 | 1.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 17, 2026 Belarusian Cup
SKA-1938 Minsk vs ML Vitebsk
3:5
Oct 20, 2024 Pershaya Liga
ML Vitebsk vs SKA-1938 Minsk
1:0
Jun 22, 2024 Pershaya Liga
SKA-1938 Minsk vs ML Vitebsk
2:5
Feb 19, 2022 Club Friendly
SKA-1938 Minsk vs ML Vitebsk
7:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SKA-1938 Minsk Compare
Top Goalscorer Prigodich V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Korytko M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
ML Vitebsk Compare
Top Goalscorer Glushkov N.
2 Goals Assists Leader Kontsevoy A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SKA-1938 Minsk 42 / 100
ML Vitebsk 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SKA-1938 Minsk ML Vitebsk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 6.00 goals.
Attacking prowess: SKA-1938 Minsk scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
ML Vitebsk let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
Solid form: SKA-1938 Minsk remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
SKA-1938 Minsk VS ML Vitebsk
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
SKA-1938 Minsk
(Home) 26 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
5 : 1 Orsha
19 Sept
Volna Pinsk
1 : 3 SKA-1938 Minsk
12 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
0 : 2 Smorgon
05 Sept
BumProm Gomel
1 : 2 SKA-1938 Minsk
28 Aug
SKA-1938 Minsk
2 : 1 FC Minsk 2
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
5 : 1 Orsha
12 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
0 : 2 Smorgon
28 Aug
SKA-1938 Minsk
2 : 1 FC Minsk 2
15 Aug
SKA-1938 Minsk
3 : 2 FK Lida
24 Jul
SKA-1938 Minsk
0 : 0 Din. Minsk 2
Page 1 of 3
ML Vitebsk
(Away) 18 Sept
ML Vitebsk
5 : 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1 ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
ML Vitebsk
0 : 0 Din. Minsk
02 Sept
ML Vitebsk
1 : 1 Belshina
29 Aug
Dynamo Brest
1 : 3 ML Vitebsk
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1 ML Vitebsk
29 Aug
Dynamo Brest
1 : 3 ML Vitebsk
06 Aug
Borac Banja Luka
1 : 0 ML Vitebsk
30 Jul
Sutjeska
1 : 2 ML Vitebsk
15 Jul
Univ. Craiova
1 : 0 ML Vitebsk
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Shchuchyn 3
FK Lida 4
TBD -
Zhodino -
BGU Minsk 0
Osipovichi 2
TBD -
Dnepr Mogilev -
Technolog Mogilev 0
FC Slonim 6
TBD -
Isloch Minsk -
Polotsk 0
Uni X Labs 2
TBD -
FK Baranovici -
Bobovnya 0
BumProm Gomel 2
TBD -
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk -
Leskhoz 0
Soligorsk 3
TBD -
Neman -
Drut Belynichi 0
Orsha 7
TBD -
Naftan -
Urozhaynaya 0
Molodechno 3
TBD -
BATE -
Gazovik Vitebsk 1
Volna Pinsk 4
TBD -
Slavia Mozyr -
Stanles Pinsk 1
Krumkachy 4
TBD -
Dynamo Brest -
Neman Mosty 1
Niva Dolbizno 4
TBD -
FC Gomel -
Krechet 0
Ostrovets 8
TBD -
Vitebsk -
Ivatsevichi 1
Slutsk 3
TBD -
Din. Minsk -
Minskoe More 0
SKA-1938 Minsk 3
TBD -
ML Vitebsk -
Viktoria Maryina Gorka 1
Nadezhda Baranovici 0
TBD -
Belshina -
Vertical Kalinkovichi 0
Smorgon 7
TBD -
FC Minsk -
1/16-finals
FK Lida 0
Zhodino 4
Osipovichi 1
Dnepr Mogilev 3
FC Slonim 0
Isloch Minsk 1
Uni X Labs 1
FK Baranovici 4
BumProm Gomel 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1
Soligorsk 1
Neman 2
Orsha 3
Naftan 2
Molodechno 1
BATE 4
Volna Pinsk 0
Slavia Mozyr 5
Krumkachy 0
Dynamo Brest 5
Niva Dolbizno 2
FC Gomel 3
Ostrovets 2
Vitebsk 3
Slutsk 0
Din. Minsk 2
SKA-1938 Minsk 3
ML Vitebsk 5
Viktoria Maryina Gorka 1
Belshina 8
Smorgon 3
FC Minsk 4
1/8-finals
Zhodino 1
Dnepr Mogilev 2
Isloch Minsk 1
FK Baranovici 2
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 2
Neman 3
Orsha -
BATE -
Slavia Mozyr 2
Dynamo Brest 1
FC Gomel 1
Vitebsk 2
Din. Minsk -
ML Vitebsk -
Belshina 1
FC Minsk 2
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
