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SKA-1938 Minsk vs ML Vitebsk

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup RCOP-BGU Stadium
Wed, Jun 17, 2026
3 - 5
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Bulanov M. In: Lisakovich R.
Out: Bulanov M.
54' Event
Prigodich V.
57' Event
Korytko M.

AI Match Summary

The Belarusian Cup game between SKA-1938 Minsk and ML Vitebsk finished 3-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ML Vitebsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
SKA-1938 Minsk
39%
Draws
31%
ML Vitebsk
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • ML Vitebsk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Cup games in Belarusian Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • ML Vitebsk have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
SKA-1938 Minsk Clean Sheet 20%
ML Vitebsk Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SKA-1938 Minsk ML Vitebsk
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 15 21
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 3.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 Belarusian Cup
SKA-1938 Minsk vs ML Vitebsk
3:5
Oct 20, 2024 Pershaya Liga
ML Vitebsk vs SKA-1938 Minsk
1:0
Jun 22, 2024 Pershaya Liga
SKA-1938 Minsk vs ML Vitebsk
2:5
Feb 19, 2022 Club Friendly
SKA-1938 Minsk vs ML Vitebsk
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SKA-1938 Minsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Prigodich V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Korytko M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

ML Vitebsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Glushkov N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kontsevoy A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SKA-1938 Minsk 31 / 100
ML Vitebsk 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SKA-1938 Minsk ML Vitebsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

SKA-1938 Minsk scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: ML Vitebsk conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

SKA-1938 Minsk has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SKA-1938 Minsk VS ML Vitebsk
3.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Shchuchyn3
FK Lida4
TBD-
Zhodino-
Urozhaynaya0
Molodechno3
TBD-
BATE-
Technolog Mogilev0
FC Slonim6
TBD-
Isloch Minsk-
Polotsk0
Uni X Labs2
TBD-
FK Baranovici-
Minskoe More0
SKA-1938 Minsk3
TBD-
ML Vitebsk-
Bobovnya0
BumProm Gomel2
TBD-
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk-
Leskhoz0
Soligorsk3
TBD-
Neman-
Stanles Pinsk1
Krumkachy4
TBD-
Dynamo Brest-
Krechet0
Ostrovets8
TBD-
Vitebsk-
Drut Belynichi0
Orsha7
TBD-
Naftan-
Neman Mosty1
Niva Dolbizno4
TBD-
FC Gomel-
Gazovik Vitebsk1
Volna Pinsk4
TBD-
Slavia Mozyr-
Ivatsevichi1
Slutsk3
TBD-
Din. Minsk-
Vertical Kalinkovichi0
Smorgon7
TBD-
FC Minsk-
Viktoria Maryina Gorka1
Nadezhda Baranovici0
TBD-
Belshina-
BGU Minsk0
Osipovichi2
TBD-
Dnepr Mogilev-
1/16-finals
FK Lida-
Zhodino-
Molodechno1
BATE4
FC Slonim-
Isloch Minsk-
Uni X Labs-
FK Baranovici-
SKA-1938 Minsk3
ML Vitebsk5
BumProm Gomel-
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk-
Soligorsk-
Neman-
Krumkachy-
Dynamo Brest-
Ostrovets-
Vitebsk-
Orsha-
Naftan-
Niva Dolbizno-
FC Gomel-
Volna Pinsk-
Slavia Mozyr-
Slutsk0
Din. Minsk2
Smorgon-
FC Minsk-
Viktoria Maryina Gorka-
Belshina-
Osipovichi0
Dnepr Mogilev0
1/8-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-