Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SKA-1938 Minsk vs Orsha

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga RCOP-BGU Stadium, Minsk
SKA-1938 Minsk Logo

SKA-1938 Minsk

5 - 1
FT
Orsha Logo

Orsha

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Knyshev N.
50' Event
Chul D.
Assist: Slivin A.
57' Event
Korytko M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SKA-1938 Minsk in this Pershaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SKA-1938 Minsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
SKA-1938 Minsk
15%
Draws
21%
Orsha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SKA-1938 Minsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SKA-1938 Minsk lately — more wins on the board than Orsha.
  • Model gives SKA-1938 Minsk a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
SKA-1938 Minsk Clean Sheet 20%
Orsha Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SKA-1938 Minsk Orsha
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2.17 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Pershaya Liga
SKA-1938 Minsk vs Orsha
5:1
May 30, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs SKA-1938 Minsk
0:2
Oct 27, 2024 Pershaya Liga
SKA-1938 Minsk vs Orsha
1:1
Jun 29, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs SKA-1938 Minsk
2:2
Aug 28, 2020 Belarusian Cup
Orsha vs SKA-1938 Minsk
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SKA-1938 Minsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Korytko M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Knyshev N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Orsha Compare

Top Goalscorer Tikhomirov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SKA-1938 Minsk 85 / 100
Orsha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SKA-1938 Minsk Orsha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKA-1938 Minsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orsha let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

SKA-1938 Minsk scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

SKA-1938 Minsk has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SKA-1938 Minsk VS Orsha
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SKA-1938 Minsk

(Home)
26 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
5 : 1
Orsha
19 Sept
Volna Pinsk
1 : 3
SKA-1938 Minsk
12 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
0 : 2
Smorgon
05 Sept
BumProm Gomel
1 : 2
SKA-1938 Minsk
28 Aug
SKA-1938 Minsk
2 : 1
FC Minsk 2
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Orsha

(Away)
26 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
5 : 1
Orsha
19 Sept
Orsha
0 : 3
Slutsk
11 Sept
Din. Minsk 2
0 : 0
Orsha
06 Sept
Orsha
2 : 3
Ostrovets
30 Aug
FC Slonim
1 : 2
Orsha
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niva Dolbizno 26 17 3 6 67:31 54
2 Slutsk 26 16 6 4 52:27 54
3 FK Lida 26 16 3 7 49:43 51
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 26 15 5 6 53:31 50
5 FC Slonim 26 14 4 8 48:31 46
6 Molodechno 25 14 3 8 44:36 45
7 Soligorsk 26 11 6 9 51:43 39
8 BumProm Gomel 25 11 4 10 47:37 37
9 Din. Minsk 2 25 10 5 10 42:37 35
10 Ostrovets 26 8 10 8 36:38 34
11 Volna Pinsk 26 10 4 12 40:48 34
12 Smorgon 26 8 6 12 31:36 30
13 FC Minsk 2 26 9 3 14 36:48 30
14 Uni X Labs 26 6 8 12 25:35 26
15 Orsha 26 7 5 14 28:51 26
16 BATE 2 26 5 6 15 35:60 21
17 FC Gomel 2 26 5 6 15 36:52 21
18 Osipovichi 25 5 3 17 26:62 18
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)