Sport Picks
SKA-1938 Minsk vs Smorgon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Belarus
Pershaya Liga RCOP-BGU Stadium, Minsk 
Match Events
9'
9'
Dukso M.
Assist: Fartuna B.
66'
66'
Sub
Medvedev A. In: Kartoev A.
Out: Medvedev A.
66'
66'
Sub
Egiptsev F. In: Lukashenko E.
Out: Egiptsev F.
AI Match Summary
Smorgon in this Pershaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Smorgon.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SKA-1938 Minsk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Smorgon haven't matched SKA-1938 Minsk's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
SKA-1938 Minsk Clean Sheet 20%
Smorgon Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SKA-1938 Minsk | Smorgon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Pershaya Liga
SKA-1938 Minsk vs Smorgon
0:2
May 16, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs SKA-1938 Minsk
0:1
Feb 24, 2024 Club Friendly
SKA-1938 Minsk vs Smorgon
1:1
Oct 27, 2023 Vysshaya Liga
SKA-1938 Minsk vs Smorgon
2:4
Jun 3, 2023 Vysshaya Liga
Smorgon vs SKA-1938 Minsk
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SKA-1938 Minsk Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Smorgon Compare
Top Goalscorer Dukso M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Galko V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SKA-1938 Minsk 32 / 100
Smorgon 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SKA-1938 Minsk Smorgon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: SKA-1938 Minsk scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Smorgon let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
SKA-1938 Minsk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
SKA-1938 Minsk VS Smorgon
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
SKA-1938 Minsk
(Home) 03 Oct
FC Gomel 2
0 : 3 SKA-1938 Minsk
26 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
5 : 1 Orsha
19 Sept
Volna Pinsk
1 : 3 SKA-1938 Minsk
12 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
0 : 2 Smorgon
05 Sept
BumProm Gomel
1 : 2 SKA-1938 Minsk
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
5 : 1 Orsha
12 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
0 : 2 Smorgon
28 Aug
SKA-1938 Minsk
2 : 1 FC Minsk 2
15 Aug
SKA-1938 Minsk
3 : 2 FK Lida
24 Jul
SKA-1938 Minsk
0 : 0 Din. Minsk 2
Page 1 of 3
Smorgon
(Away) 03 Oct
Smorgon
2 : 0 Osipovichi
25 Sept
FK Lida
2 : 1 Smorgon
19 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 0 Niva Dolbizno
12 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
0 : 2 Smorgon
06 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 1 Slutsk
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
FK Lida
2 : 1 Smorgon
12 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
0 : 2 Smorgon
30 Aug
Din. Minsk 2
3 : 2 Smorgon
16 Aug
FC Slonim
0 : 2 Smorgon
05 Aug
Uni X Labs
2 : 0 Smorgon
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slutsk | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 56:28 | 57 |
| 2 | Niva Dolbizno | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 67:31 | 55 |
| 3 | FK Lida | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 51:43 | 54 |
| 4 | SKA-1938 Minsk | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 56:31 | 53 |
| 5 | FC Slonim | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 49:32 | 47 |
| 6 | Molodechno | 26 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 45:40 | 45 |
| 7 | BumProm Gomel | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52:41 | 41 |
| 8 | Soligorsk | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 52:44 | 40 |
| 9 | Din. Minsk 2 | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 42:37 | 35 |
| 10 | Ostrovets | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | 35 |
| 11 | Volna Pinsk | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 40:50 | 34 |
| 12 | Smorgon | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33:36 | 33 |
| 13 | FC Minsk 2 | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 37:50 | 30 |
| 14 | Orsha | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28:51 | 27 |
| 15 | Uni X Labs | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25:35 | 26 |
| 16 | BATE 2 | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 36:61 | 22 |
| 17 | FC Gomel 2 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 36:55 | 21 |
| 18 | Osipovichi | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 29:67 | 19 |
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
