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Stadium Background

SKA Brasil vs Elosport

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SKA Brasil in this Paulista A4 2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SKA Brasil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
SKA Brasil
35%
Draws
12%
Elosport
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: SKA Brasil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SKA Brasil lately — more wins on the board than Elosport.
  • Model gives SKA Brasil a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
SKA Brasil Clean Sheet 20%
Elosport Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SKA Brasil Elosport
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 16 9
Draws 9 4
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 1.58 0.94
Goals Conceded 0.73 2.15
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2017 Paulista A4
SKA Brasil vs Elosport
2:1
May 7, 2017 Paulista A4
Elosport vs SKA Brasil
0:0
Jul 14, 2013 Paulista A4
Elosport vs SKA Brasil
4:1
May 18, 2013 Paulista A4
SKA Brasil vs Elosport
4:0
Jun 18, 2011 Paulista A4
SKA Brasil vs Elosport
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SKA Brasil 85 / 100
Elosport 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SKA Brasil Elosport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKA Brasil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: SKA Brasil stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

SKA Brasil found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

Elosport's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

SKA Brasil VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SKA Brasil

(Home)
28 Apr
Francana
0 : 0
SKA Brasil
20 Apr
SKA Brasil
0 : 0
Francana
13 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 1
SKA Brasil
06 Apr
SKA Brasil
1 : 0
Sao-Carlense
30 Mar
Nacional SP
0 : 2
SKA Brasil
Page 1 of 7

Elosport

(Away)
14 Nov
Elosport
0 : 2
Independente SP
11 Nov
Rio Branco SP
2 : 2
Elosport
08 Nov
Elosport
1 : 2
Uniao Barbarense
04 Nov
AA Itarare
4 : 2
Elosport
28 Oct
Independente SP
2 : 2
Elosport
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vocem 12 9 2 1 16:4 29
2 Osvaldo Cruz 12 6 3 3 18:11 21
3 Jose Bonifacio EC 12 5 4 3 9:8 19
4 America SP 12 5 4 3 16:11 19
5 Gremio Prudente 12 4 4 4 21:12 16
6 Presidente Prudente 12 2 4 6 12:19 10
7 Assisense 12 0 1 11 7:34 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2017 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 XV de Jau 12 8 1 3 29:14 25
2 Brasilis 12 5 4 3 20:12 19
3 Francana 12 5 4 3 16:12 19
4 Taquaritinga 12 5 3 4 16:17 18
5 Inter de Bebedouro 12 4 3 5 13:15 15
6 Amparo SP 12 2 4 6 11:22 10
7 Jaguariuna 12 2 3 7 15:28 9
Promotion - Paulista A4 2017 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Primavera EC 14 9 3 2 20:6 30
2 EC Sao Bernardo 14 9 2 3 26:13 29
3 SKA Brasil 14 7 3 4 22:17 24
4 AA Itarare 14 5 6 3 28:16 21
5 Elosport 14 4 5 5 21:16 17
6 Guarulhos 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
7 Diadema 14 2 2 10 12:38 8
8 Barcelona SP 14 1 5 8 15:35 8
Promotion - Paulista A4 2017 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose EC 12 8 2 2 23:13 26
2 Manthiqueira 12 8 1 3 24:16 25
3 Mauaense 12 7 2 3 23:11 23
4 Uniao Mogi 12 4 4 4 15:9 16
5 Atletico Real Cubatense 12 3 3 6 12:20 12
6 Jabaquara 12 2 5 5 12:16 11
7 Atletico Mogi 12 1 1 10 6:30 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2017 (Second stage)