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SKA Brasil vs Independente SP

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SKA Brasil in this Paulista A4 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SKA Brasil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
SKA Brasil
6%
Draws
90%
Independente SP
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Independente SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • SKA Brasil haven't matched Independente SP's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Independente SP a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and SKA Brasil have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
SKA Brasil Clean Sheet 20%
Independente SP Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SKA Brasil Independente SP
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 14 17
Draws 8 3
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2024 Paulista A4
SKA Brasil vs Independente SP
1:0
Aug 16, 2023 Paulista A4
Independente SP vs SKA Brasil
1:2
Aug 3, 2023 Paulista A4
SKA Brasil vs Independente SP
1:0
Jul 22, 2023 Paulista A4
SKA Brasil vs Independente SP
4:0
Jul 2, 2023 Paulista A4
Independente SP vs SKA Brasil
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SKA Brasil 10 / 100
Independente SP 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SKA Brasil Independente SP

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SKA Brasil went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

SKA Brasil's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Independente SP let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Independente SP
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uniao Sao Joao62405:310
2Nacional SP62314:49
3XV de Jau62135:57
4Jacarei FC61234:65
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Catanduva FC63307:412
2Rio Branco SP62229:78
3Penapolense61416:57
4Jabaquara60333:93
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uniao Barbarense62403:110
2America SP61418:87
3Sao-Carlense62135:67
4Vocem61326:76
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Francana641110:613
2Taquaritinga64029:612
3SKA Brasil63127:610
4Independente SP60063:110