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SKA Brasil vs Itapirense Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2022 game between SKA Brasil and Itapirense finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itapirense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
SKA Brasil
30%
Draws
18%
Itapirense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SKA Brasil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SKA Brasil come out ahead of Itapirense on wins alone.
  • Model gives SKA Brasil a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
SKA Brasil Clean Sheet 19%
Itapirense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SKA Brasil Itapirense
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 14 5
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 1.5 0.91
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2022 Paulista A4
Itapirense vs SKA Brasil
1:0
Jul 15, 2022 Paulista A4
SKA Brasil vs Itapirense
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SKA Brasil 85 / 100
Itapirense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SKA Brasil Itapirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKA Brasil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itapirense let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Solid form: SKA Brasil remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: SKA Brasil scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Itapirense
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SKA Brasil

(Home)
28 Apr
Francana
0 : 0
SKA Brasil
20 Apr
SKA Brasil
0 : 0
Francana
13 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 1
SKA Brasil
06 Apr
SKA Brasil
1 : 0
Sao-Carlense
30 Mar
Nacional SP
0 : 2
SKA Brasil
Page 1 of 7

Itapirense

(Away)
21 Mar
Itapirense
0 : 1
Rio Preto EC
14 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
1 : 0
Itapirense
11 Mar
Rio Branco SP
3 : 2
Itapirense
08 Mar
Itapirense
0 : 3
EC Sao Bernardo
04 Mar
Desportivo
1 : 2
Itapirense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao-Carlense 6 5 1 0 12:4 16
2 Penapolense 6 2 2 2 13:9 8
3 Paulista 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
4 Manthiqueira 6 1 1 4 5:15 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Prudente 6 4 2 0 12:4 14
2 XV de Jau 6 4 0 2 9:7 12
3 Maua FC 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
4 Rio Branco SP 6 1 0 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 6 5 1 0 9:2 16
2 Inter de Bebedouro 6 2 2 2 7:5 8
3 Jacarei FC 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
4 Taquaritinga 6 1 1 4 3:8 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapirense 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 AA Itarare 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
3 Catanduva FC 6 1 4 1 13:11 7
4 SKA Brasil 6 0 2 4 8:15 2
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Play Offs)