Sport Picks

Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina

SKA Khabarovsk

1 - 1

Ulyanovsk

Our Tip

Match Events

17'

Aleynikov V.

20'

Yakovlev V.

41'

Glotov S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this FNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

SKA Khabarovsk

39%

Draws

31%

Ulyanovsk

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Ulyanovsk have won more games recently than SKA Khabarovsk.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%

SKA Khabarovsk Clean Sheet 68%

Ulyanovsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SKA Khabarovsk	Ulyanovsk
Matches Played	27	29
Wins	8	10
Draws	8	9
Losses	11	10
Goals Scored	1.25	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 FNL

SKA Khabarovsk vs Ulyanovsk

Possession: 40% - 49% Cards: 0 - 4

1:1

Aug 17, 2025 FNL

Ulyanovsk vs SKA Khabarovsk

Possession: 55% - 50% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Apr 22, 2023 FNL

SKA Khabarovsk vs Ulyanovsk

Possession: 58% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Oct 1, 2022 FNL

Ulyanovsk vs SKA Khabarovsk

Possession: 46% - 46% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Oct 17, 2008 FNL

SKA Khabarovsk vs Ulyanovsk

Possession: 57% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SKA Khabarovsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Glotov S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Ulyanovsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Yakovlev V.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SKA Khabarovsk 41 / 100

Ulyanovsk 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SKA Khabarovsk Ulyanovsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SKA Khabarovsk scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Ulyanovsk conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

SKA Khabarovsk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SKA Khabarovsk VS Ulyanovsk

1.25 Goals Scored 0.75

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rodina Moscow	34	19	11	4	58:28	68
2	Fakel Voronezh	34	20	8	6	44:22	68
3	Ural	34	18	7	9	51:31	61
4	R. Volgograd	34	15	11	8	47:26	56
5	Kamaz	34	12	13	9	46:34	49
6	Yenisey	34	13	10	11	37:35	49
7	S. Kostroma	34	12	13	9	46:41	49
8	Shinnik Yaroslavl	34	11	15	8	34:28	48
9	Torpedo Moscow	34	12	10	12	37:39	46
10	Chelyabinsk	34	10	14	10	42:40	44
11	Neftekhimik	34	10	13	11	40:41	43
12	SKA Khabarovsk	34	10	12	12	37:45	42
13	Arsenal Tula	34	8	15	11	42:44	39
14	Ulyanovsk	34	9	10	15	35:48	37
15	Ufa	34	9	10	15	32:40	37
16	Chernomorets Novorossijsk	34	9	8	17	37:49	35
17	Saratov	34	5	11	18	16:44	26
18	FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye	34	5	7	22	30:76	22