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SKA Rostov-on-Don vs Yessentuki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Kamenshchikov D.
21'
Sub
Tagaev M. In: Muravyov A.
Out: Tagaev M.
25' Event
Alshansky V.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Group 1 game between SKA Rostov-on-Don and Yessentuki finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SKA Rostov-on-Don.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
SKA Rostov-on-Don
15%
Draws
0%
Yessentuki
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SKA Rostov-on-Don

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SKA Rostov-on-Don come out ahead of Yessentuki on wins alone.
  • Model gives SKA Rostov-on-Don a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and SKA Rostov-on-Don have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
SKA Rostov-on-Don Clean Sheet 20%
Yessentuki Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SKA Rostov-on-Don Yessentuki
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 1
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 26
Goals Scored 1.41 0.33
Goals Conceded 1.31 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 1
SKA Rostov-on-Don vs Yessentuki
5:0
Sep 9, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 1
Yessentuki vs SKA Rostov-on-Don
2:2
May 12, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 1
Yessentuki vs SKA Rostov-on-Don
1:2
Oct 17, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
SKA Rostov-on-Don vs Yessentuki
1:0
May 27, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
SKA Rostov-on-Don vs Yessentuki
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SKA Rostov-on-Don Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamenshchikov D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Alshansky V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Yessentuki Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SKA Rostov-on-Don 85 / 100
Yessentuki 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SKA Rostov-on-Don Yessentuki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKA Rostov-on-Don Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SKA Rostov-on-Don found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Yessentuki conceded in 93% of 27 recent games.

Difficult form: Yessentuki registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

SKA Rostov-on-Don VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SKA Rostov-on-Don

(Home)
12 Aug
Spartak Tambov
2 : 1
SKA Rostov-on-Don
29 Jul
SKA Rostov-on-Don
3 : 2
Penza
10 Sept
SKA Rostov-on-Don
1 : 2
Broke Boys
07 Jun
Broke Boys
1 : 1
SKA Rostov-on-Don
27 Apr
SKA Rostov-on-Don
0 : 1
Rodina Media
Page 1 of 7

Yessentuki

(Away)
29 Apr
Yessentuki
:
Biolog
22 Apr
R. Volgograd
:
Yessentuki
14 Apr
Yessentuki
:
Spartak Nalchik
08 Apr
Forte Taganrog
15 : 0
Yessentuki
31 Mar
Yessentuki
0 : 3
Mashuk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chernomorets Novorossijsk 26 19 6 1 56:18 63
2 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 26 16 7 3 40:10 55
3 R. Volgograd 26 15 7 4 47:19 52
4 Biolog 26 13 7 6 35:24 46
5 Forte Taganrog 26 12 9 5 52:22 45
6 Kuban Kholding 26 12 6 8 43:29 42
7 Spartak Nalchik 26 10 7 9 36:30 37
8 Maykop 26 10 5 11 28:31 35
9 SKA Rostov-on-Don 26 9 7 10 26:31 34
10 Dynamo Stavropol 26 7 10 9 27:38 31
11 Legion Makhachkala 26 5 6 15 29:43 21
12 Mashuk 26 5 6 15 27:47 21
13 Alania 2 26 2 7 17 21:53 13
14 Yessentuki 26 1 2 23 7:79 5
Promotion - FNL 2 - Group 1 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Group 1 (Relegation Group)