Sport Picks

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Skanste vs Leevon PPK

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Muiznieks R.
18' Event
Scerbinskis A.
Assist: Abelkalns A.
54' Event
Muiznieks R.
Assist: Kirkils G.

AI Match Summary

The Nakotnes liga game between Skanste and Leevon PPK finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leevon PPK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Skanste
44%
Draws
20%
Leevon PPK
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leevon PPK come out ahead of Skanste on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Nakotnes liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Skanste Clean Sheet 10%
Leevon PPK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skanste Leevon PPK
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.5 2.5
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Nakotnes liga
Skanste vs Leevon PPK
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Skanste vs Leevon PPK
1:1
May 23, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Leevon PPK vs Skanste
4:2
Sep 21, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Skanste vs Leevon PPK
3:0
Jun 21, 2024 Latvian Cup
Leevon PPK vs Skanste
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skanste Compare

Top Goalscorer Scerbinskis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Leevon PPK Compare

Top Goalscorer Muiznieks R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skanste 34 / 100
Leevon PPK 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skanste Leevon PPK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Skanste scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Leevon PPK has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Leevon PPK registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Skanste VS Leevon PPK
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Metta12101142:1131
2Valmiera1292132:1229
3Riga Mariners1284025:1028
4Leevon PPK1273220:1524
5Alberts JDFS1262425:2020
6Marupe1261522:1519
7Super Nova 21254319:1719
8Riga FC 21251619:2216
9Skanste1241720:2413
10JFK Ventspils1224615:2010
11RFS 21223715:269
12Tukums 2000 21222816:318
13Rezekne1212910:365
14FK Smiltene1204812:334