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Skanste vs Riga FC 2

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga
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Match Events

47' Event
Bekeris O.
Assist: Scerbinskis A.
49' Event
Scerbinskis A.
Assist: Kletskiy M.

AI Match Summary

Skanste host Riga FC 2 in the Nakotnes liga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Riga FC 2 have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Skanste have conceded 1.63 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, Skanste have won 3 to Riga FC 2's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 4, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.69, favoring Skanste. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Skanste
17%
Draws
70%
Riga FC 2
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Riga FC 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Skanste has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Riga FC 2.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Riga FC 2.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Nakotnes liga provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Skanste Clean Sheet 13%
Riga FC 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skanste Riga FC 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Nakotnes liga
Skanste vs Riga FC 2
2:0
Sep 12, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Skanste vs Riga FC 2
1:0
May 4, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Riga FC 2 vs Skanste
0:1
Aug 24, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Skanste vs Riga FC 2
0:1
Apr 28, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Riga FC 2 vs Skanste
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skanste Compare

Top Goalscorer Bekeris O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Scerbinskis A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Riga FC 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skanste 14 / 100
Riga FC 2 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skanste Riga FC 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skanste scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Riga FC 2 let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Skanste went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Riga FC 2 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Skanste VS Riga FC 2
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Metta12101142:1131
2Valmiera1292132:1229
3Riga Mariners1284025:1028
4Leevon PPK1273220:1524
5Alberts JDFS1262425:2020
6Marupe1261522:1519
7Super Nova 21254319:1719
8Riga FC 21251619:2216
9Skanste1241720:2413
10JFK Ventspils1224615:2010
11RFS 21223715:269
12Tukums 2000 21222816:318
13Rezekne1212910:365
14FK Smiltene1204812:334