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Skara vs Stenungsunds IF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Skara play Stenungsunds IF in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland. Skara are favorites here. Recently, Skara averaged 1.87 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Stenungsunds IF averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Skara won 1, Stenungsunds IF won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 3, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Skara and 1.38 for Stenungsunds IF. This points to a Skara double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Skara
26%
Draws
18%
Stenungsunds IF
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Skara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Skara picked up more points recently compared to Stenungsunds IF.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Skara Clean Sheet 17%
Stenungsunds IF Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skara Stenungsunds IF
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 17 6
Draws 7 9
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.87 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Skara vs Stenungsunds IF
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skara Compare

Top Goalscorer Granath V.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Stenungsunds IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Prytz Rafstedt H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skara 54 / 100
Stenungsunds IF 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skara Stenungsunds IF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Skara & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Skara attacking → ← attacking Stenungsunds IF

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skara scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Stenungsunds IF let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Skara went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Stenungsunds IF lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 27
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Husqvarna15123036:1039
2Skara14103129:1733
3IFK Skovde1491430:1928
4Grebbestad1481527:2025
5Ahlafors1465331:1923
6Stenungsunds IF1453624:2218
7Motala1453618:1718
8Kumla1445515:1617
9Herrestads AIF1445523:2617
10Vanersborgs FK1444619:2416
11Lidkoping1533916:3312
12Karlstad II1424816:2610
13Tord1408615:268
14Vanersborgs IF14221016:408