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Skarp vs Tromso 3

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 12
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tromso 3 in this Division 3 - Group 12 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tromso 3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Skarp
20%
Draws
44%
Tromso 3
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tromso 3

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Skarp lately — more wins on the board than Tromso 3.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Skarp Clean Sheet 16%
Tromso 3 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skarp Tromso 3
Matches Played 32 21
Wins 9 7
Draws 10 1
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 2.03 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2016 Division 3 - Group 12
Tromso 3 vs Skarp
4:8
Apr 29, 2016 Division 3 - Group 12
Skarp vs Tromso 3
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skarp 31 / 100
Tromso 3 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skarp Tromso 3

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tromso 3 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Skarp scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Tromso 3's defensive record shows goals conceded in 95% of 21 matches.

Historical meetings average 7.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Skarp remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Skarp VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Skarp

(Home)
27 Oct
Finnsnes
1 : 1
Skarp
20 Oct
Skarp
3 : 3
Korsvoll
14 Oct
Lyn
7 : 1
Skarp
06 Oct
Skarp
3 : 1
Sortland
30 Sept
Grei
3 : 0
Skarp
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Tromso 3

(Away)
08 Oct
Tromso 3
2 : 1
HIF Stein
01 Oct
Skjervoy
6 : 0
Tromso 3
24 Sept
Tromso 3
1 : 2
Bossekop
21 Sept
Alta 2
4 : 1
Tromso 3
07 Sept
Tromso 3
3 : 1
Tverrelvdalen
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