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Skelleftea vs IFK Lulea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Vikstrom J.
12' Event
Lindfors T.
63' Event
Nordell W.

AI Match Summary

IFK Lulea in this Division 2 - Norrland matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored IFK Lulea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Skelleftea
15%
Draws
68%
IFK Lulea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IFK Lulea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to IFK Lulea lately — more wins on the board than Skelleftea.
  • Win probability leans IFK Lulea's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Skelleftea Clean Sheet 16%
IFK Lulea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skelleftea IFK Lulea
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 18
Draws 9 2
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.86 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Skelleftea
4:2
Aug 15, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs IFK Lulea
3:1
Jun 27, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Skelleftea
0:1
May 16, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs IFK Lulea
2:3
Oct 5, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Skelleftea
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skelleftea Compare

Top Goalscorer Lindfors T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

IFK Lulea Compare

Top Goalscorer Vikstrom J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nordell W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skelleftea 10 / 100
IFK Lulea 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skelleftea IFK Lulea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Lulea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skelleftea found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

IFK Lulea has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Skelleftea went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Skelleftea VS IFK Lulea
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Skelleftea

(Home)
03 Oct
IFK Lulea
4 : 2
Skelleftea
26 Sept
Skelleftea
0 : 3
Gottne IF
19 Sept
Boden
0 : 2
Skelleftea
16 Sept
Skelleftea
1 : 2
Taftea IK
12 Sept
IFK Ostersund
5 : 0
Skelleftea
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IFK Lulea

(Away)
03 Oct
IFK Lulea
4 : 2
Skelleftea
26 Sept
Kubikenborgs
0 : 1
IFK Lulea
19 Sept
IFK Lulea
3 : 1
Lucksta IF
16 Sept
Boden
1 : 0
IFK Lulea
12 Sept
Taftea IK
1 : 2
IFK Lulea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skelleftea 12 8 3 1 26:8 27
2 Taftea IK 12 8 1 3 34:13 25
3 IFK Lulea 12 8 1 3 32:14 25
4 Boden 12 4 5 3 15:14 17
5 Umea FC Akademi 12 2 5 5 17:29 11
6 Storfors AIK 12 2 2 8 14:32 8
7 IFK Umea 12 1 1 10 10:38 4
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kubikenborgs 12 7 2 3 25:16 23
2 Gottne IF 12 7 2 3 29:24 23
3 Lucksta IF 12 5 3 4 26:26 18
4 IFK Ostersund 12 4 5 3 23:20 17
5 Friska Viljor 12 2 6 4 23:21 12
6 Umea FF 12 2 5 5 22:26 11
7 Fransta IK 12 2 3 7 17:32 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)