Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Skelleftea vs IFK Umea

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Jamehdar S.
68' Event
Appoh S.
72' Event
Fahlman P.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between Skelleftea and IFK Umea finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Skelleftea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Skelleftea
20%
Draws
16%
IFK Umea
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Skelleftea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Skelleftea come out ahead of IFK Umea on wins alone.
  • Model gives Skelleftea a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • Skelleftea have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Skelleftea Clean Sheet 68%
IFK Umea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skelleftea IFK Umea
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 2
Draws 10 4
Losses 6 22
Goals Scored 1.83 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs IFK Umea
3:0
May 2, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs Skelleftea
0:5
Aug 16, 2020 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs IFK Umea
2:1
Apr 25, 2020 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs Skelleftea
0:0
Jul 4, 2019 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs Skelleftea
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skelleftea Compare

Top Goalscorer Jamehdar S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Appoh S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

IFK Umea Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skelleftea 68 / 100
IFK Umea 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skelleftea IFK Umea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skelleftea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Skelleftea scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: IFK Umea conceded in 100% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

IFK Umea's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Skelleftea VS IFK Umea
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Skelleftea

(Home)
26 Sept
Skelleftea
0 : 3
Gottne IF
19 Sept
Boden
0 : 2
Skelleftea
16 Sept
Skelleftea
1 : 2
Taftea IK
12 Sept
IFK Ostersund
5 : 0
Skelleftea
05 Sept
Skelleftea
2 : 2
IFK Ostersund
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IFK Umea

(Away)
26 Sept
IFK Umea
1 : 3
Umea FF
19 Sept
Storfors AIK
1 : 1
IFK Umea
12 Sept
Fransta IK
4 : 0
IFK Umea
05 Sept
IFK Umea
2 : 3
Friska Viljor
26 Aug
IFK Umea
1 : 5
Umea FC Akademi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skelleftea 12 8 3 1 26:8 27
2 Taftea IK 12 8 1 3 34:13 25
3 IFK Lulea 12 8 1 3 32:14 25
4 Boden 12 4 5 3 15:14 17
5 Umea FC Akademi 12 2 5 5 17:29 11
6 Storfors AIK 12 2 2 8 14:32 8
7 IFK Umea 12 1 1 10 10:38 4
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kubikenborgs 12 7 2 3 25:16 23
2 Gottne IF 12 7 2 3 29:24 23
3 Lucksta IF 12 5 3 4 26:26 18
4 IFK Ostersund 12 4 5 3 23:20 17
5 Friska Viljor 12 2 6 4 23:21 12
6 Umea FF 12 2 5 5 22:26 11
7 Fransta IK 12 2 3 7 17:32 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)