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Skelleftea vs Umea FC Akademi

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea Logo

Skelleftea

4 - 0
FT
Umea FC Akademi Logo

Umea FC Akademi

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Appoh S.
38' Event
Appoh S.
53'
Eltoft A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Skelleftea in this Division 2 - Norrland matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Skelleftea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Skelleftea
15%
Draws
64%
Umea FC Akademi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Umea FC Akademi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Skelleftea lately — more wins on the board than Umea FC Akademi.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Umea FC Akademi taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Skelleftea Clean Sheet 10%
Umea FC Akademi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skelleftea Umea FC Akademi
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 10 7
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.83 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs Umea FC Akademi
4:0
May 10, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs Skelleftea
1:1
Sep 24, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs Umea FC Akademi
2:2
Aug 13, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs Skelleftea
0:4
Aug 31, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs Umea FC Akademi
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skelleftea Compare

Top Goalscorer Appoh S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fahlman P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Umea FC Akademi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skelleftea 10 / 100
Umea FC Akademi 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skelleftea Umea FC Akademi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umea FC Akademi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skelleftea's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Umea FC Akademi conceded in 100% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Skelleftea went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Skelleftea VS Umea FC Akademi
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Skelleftea

(Home)
26 Sept
Skelleftea
0 : 3
Gottne IF
19 Sept
Boden
0 : 2
Skelleftea
16 Sept
Skelleftea
1 : 2
Taftea IK
12 Sept
IFK Ostersund
5 : 0
Skelleftea
05 Sept
Skelleftea
2 : 2
IFK Ostersund
Page 1 of 6

Umea FC Akademi

(Away)
26 Sept
Fransta IK
3 : 1
Umea FC Akademi
19 Sept
Umea FC Akademi
4 : 2
Umea FF
12 Sept
Friska Viljor
1 : 5
Umea FC Akademi
05 Sept
Umea FC Akademi
3 : 1
Storfors AIK
26 Aug
IFK Umea
1 : 5
Umea FC Akademi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skelleftea 12 8 3 1 26:8 27
2 Taftea IK 12 8 1 3 34:13 25
3 IFK Lulea 12 8 1 3 32:14 25
4 Boden 12 4 5 3 15:14 17
5 Umea FC Akademi 12 2 5 5 17:29 11
6 Storfors AIK 12 2 2 8 14:32 8
7 IFK Umea 12 1 1 10 10:38 4
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kubikenborgs 12 7 2 3 25:16 23
2 Gottne IF 12 7 2 3 29:24 23
3 Lucksta IF 12 5 3 4 26:26 18
4 IFK Ostersund 12 4 5 3 23:20 17
5 Friska Viljor 12 2 6 4 23:21 12
6 Umea FF 12 2 5 5 22:26 11
7 Fransta IK 12 2 3 7 17:32 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)