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Skelleftea vs Umea FC Akademi

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Skelleftea play Umea FC Akademi in the Division 2 - Norrland. It looks like a close match. Recently, Skelleftea averaged 2.13 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Umea FC Akademi averaged 1.38 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Skelleftea won 3, Umea FC Akademi won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 21, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.31 for Skelleftea and 1.13 for Umea FC Akademi. This points to a Skelleftea double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Skelleftea
6%
Draws
4%
Umea FC Akademi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Skelleftea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Skelleftea has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Umea FC Akademi.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Skelleftea.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 2 - Norrland provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Skelleftea Clean Sheet 20%
Umea FC Akademi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skelleftea Umea FC Akademi
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 17 7
Draws 10 6
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 2.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs Umea FC Akademi
4:0
May 10, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs Skelleftea
1:1
Sep 24, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs Umea FC Akademi
2:2
Aug 13, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs Skelleftea
0:4
Aug 31, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs Umea FC Akademi
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skelleftea Compare

Top Goalscorer Appoh S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fahlman P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Umea FC Akademi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skelleftea 85 / 100
Umea FC Akademi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skelleftea Umea FC Akademi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skelleftea scored in 91% of their last 33 games.

Umea FC Akademi let in goals in 94% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Skelleftea went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Umea FC Akademi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Skelleftea VS Umea FC Akademi
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Skelleftea1283126:827
2Taftea IK1281334:1325
3IFK Lulea1281332:1425
4Boden1245315:1417
5Umea FC Akademi1225517:2911
6Storfors AIK1222814:328
7IFK Umea12111010:384
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kubikenborgs1272325:1623
2Gottne IF1272329:2423
3Lucksta IF1253426:2618
4IFK Ostersund1245323:2017
5Friska Viljor1226423:2112
6Umea FF1225522:2611
7Fransta IK1223717:329