Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Skelmersdale vs Dunston - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dunston in this FA Cup 2016/2017 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Skelmersdale
15%
Draws
59%
Dunston
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dunston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Dunston have won more games recently than Skelmersdale.
  • 26% — that's where the model lands on Skelmersdale taking it.
  • Dunston arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dunston, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Skelmersdale Clean Sheet 19%
Dunston Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skelmersdale Dunston
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 16
Draws 4 3
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2016 FA Cup
Skelmersdale vs Dunston
1:2
Sep 3, 2016 FA Cup
Dunston vs Skelmersdale
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skelmersdale 58 / 100
Dunston 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skelmersdale Dunston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skelmersdale Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Skelmersdale's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Dunston let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Skelmersdale stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dunston
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Skelmersdale

(Home)
06 Jul
Burscough
1 : 1
Skelmersdale
14 Sept
Widnes FC
2 : 1
Skelmersdale
04 Sept
Radcliffe
2 : 0
Skelmersdale
27 Jul
Skelmersdale
4 : 1
Prescot Cables
10 Jul
Skelmersdale
2 : 3
Widnes FC
Page 1 of 6

Dunston

(Away)
26 Sept
Dunston
0 : 2
Avro
19 Sept
Dunston
0 : 2
Scarborough Athletic
12 Sept
Morpeth
0 : 1
Dunston
05 Sept
Vauxhall
0 : 2
Dunston
29 Aug
Grimsby Borough
0 : 1
Dunston
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Southport -
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Chester -
Alfreton -
TBD -
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AFC Fylde -
Harlow 3
Romford 1
Brigg Town 1
King’s Lynn 6
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Gateshead -
North Ferriby United -
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Macclesfield -
United of Manchester -
TBD -
Billingham Synthonia FC 4
Ossett Town 5
Bridlington Town 2
Newcastle Benfield 0
TBD -
Harrogate -
Stalybridge -
TBD -
Buxton 0
Witton Albion 3
Ashton Athletic 7
Mossley AFC 2
TBD -
Halifax -
Stockport County -
TBD -
Colne 0
Hyde 1
Bradford PA -
TBD -
TBD -
Salford -
Farsley 3
Sheffield FC 0
Pontefract Collieries 2
Tadcaster Albion 3
Trafford 5
Cheadle Town 2
Ossett Albion 1
Bishop Auckland 5
Barrow -
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Tranmere -
Halesowen 3
Coleshill Town 0
Hednesford 1
Belper Town 2
Marine 2
Marske United 0
Ashton United 0
Nantwich 3
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 6
Ashby Ivanhoe 0
Evesham 2
Barwell 4
Mickleover 3
Spalding United 2
Peterborough Sports 1
Stourbridge 3
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Blyth Spartans 3
Frickley 1
Colwyn Bay 1
Morpeth 4
Matlock 4
Heanor Town 2
Stafford 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Shildon 5
Washington 2
Warrington Town 0
Workington 3
Lincoln City -
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Guiseley -
Lincoln Utd. 6
Dunkirk 1
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Nuneaton -
Burscough 4
Maine Road 3
Squires Gate 2
Handsworth Parramore 5
Chorley -
TBD -
Skelmersdale 3
Dunston 4
Whitby 5
Winsford United 4
Radcliffe 3
Spennymoor 5
Stamford 5
Neots 2
Deeping Rangers 2
Gresley 6
Coalville Town 2
Redditch 1
Stratford 1
AFC Mansfield 2
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Wrexham -
York City -
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Bedworth United 2
Coventry United 0
Grantham Town 3
Chasetown 4
Consett 5
Harrogate Railway 0
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Curzon Ashton -
Welling -
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Ramsgate 1
Whyteleafe 2
Farnborough 5
Andover Town 0
Portishead Town 1
Swindon Supermarine 4
Merthyr Town 4
Barnstaple Town 0
Bideford 1
Portchester 2
East Thurrock Utd -
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Whitehawk -
Westfields 4
St Ives Town 0
Leamington 1
Highgate United 3
Hythe 1
Leatherhead 0
Greenwich Borough 2
Walton Casuals 3
Hungerford -
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Bemerton Heath Harlequins FC 0
Basingstoke 4
South Park 2
Dorking Wanderers 1
Grays 1
Leiston 4
Sutton -
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Forest Green -
Chesham 5
Saffron 0
Lewes 1
Sevenoaks 2
Maidenhead -
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Godalming Town 0
Staines 4
Potters 3
Chalfont St Peter 0
Dunstable Town 1
Canvey Island 2
Oxford City -
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Bath City -
Dagenham & Red. -
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Banbury 3
Dorchester 0
Gillingham Town 0
Cirencester 2
Histon 2
Lowestoft 0
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Wealdstone -
Torquay -
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Woking -
Taunton Town 2
Cinderford Town 0
Fleet Town 1
Slimbridge 2
AFC Dunstable 4
Heybridge 3
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Hampton & Richmond -
Gloucester City -
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Frome Town 0
Salisbury 2
Herne Bay 3
Ashford Town 1
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Hemel Hempstead -
Braintree -
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Bromley -
Beaconsfield Town 7
Wantage 2
Haringey Borough 0
FC Witham Town 3
Stortford -
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Tilbury 1
Felixstowe & Walton 2
Worcester -
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Telford -
Rugby 1
Corby 0
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Brackley -
Tonbridge 9
Ascot United 2
Waltham Abbey 0
Wingate & Finchley 5
Sutton Coldfield Town 3
Eynesbury Rovers 1
Romulus 1
Hereford 4
Slough Town 6
Chipstead 1
Flackwell Heath 1
Cambridge City 3
Chelmsford -
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Dartford -
Faversham 1
Cray Wanderers 0
Biggleswade United 2
Hitchin 4
VCD Athletic 4
Kingstonian 1
Arundel FC 1
Egham Town 5
Worthing FC 9
Carshalton 5
Sun Sports 0
Hayes & Yeading 2
Dereham 2
Holbeach 1
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St. Albans -
Boreham Wood -
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AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2
Hornchurch 0
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Concord Rangers -
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Pagham 0
Cheshunt 2
Hendon 5
Aldershot -
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Eastbourne Borough -
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Hounslow United 1
Metropolitan Police 3
Kings Langley 6
Sporting Bengal 1
London Colney 0
Hadley 1
Harrow Borough 4
Sawbridgeworth 1
Needham Market 0
Uxbridge 2
Truro -
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Street 2
Winchester City 4
Margate -
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Maldon & Tiptree 0
Biggleswade Town 1
Barton 1
Stanway Rovers 0
Camberley Town 0
Hastings 2
Maidstone -
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Chippenham Town 9
Moneyfields 0
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Poole Town -
Bognor Regis 5
Guildford City 1
Brightlingsea 1
Billericay 2
Kidderminster -
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Tamworth -
Darlington FC -
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Brighouse Town 0
Lancaster 3
Brimscombe & Thrupp 3
Peacehaven & Telscombe 0
Hamworthy United 2
Brislington 5
Gosport Borough -
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Paulton Rovers 1
Weymouth 2
Solihull Moors -
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Boston United -
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Hinckley LR 2
Kirby Muxloe 3
Rushall 3
Soham 2
Leek Town 2
Kettering 3
Burgess Hill 2
Ashford United 1
Harefield United 2
Kempston 3
Alresford Town 5
Fareham 3
Plymouth Parkway 0
Cadbury Heath 3
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Dover Ath. -
Merstham 4
East Preston 1
Eastbourne Town 0
Colliers Wood 2
Hanwell Town 1
Enfield Town 0
Chertsey Town 0
Thamesmead 1
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Sholing 0
Eastbourne United 0
Highworth 3
Sudbury 6
Halstead Town 0
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Ebbsfleet -
Eastleigh -
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Folkestone 3
North Greenford Utd. 1
Stotfold 1
Walthamstow FC 2
Weston-super-Mare -
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Corinthian-Casuals 2
North Leigh 3
Quarter-finals
Southport -
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Chester -
Alfreton 1
AFC Fylde 0
Harlow 0
King’s Lynn 1
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Gateshead -
North Ferriby United -
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Macclesfield -
United of Manchester 7
Ossett Town 1
Bridlington Town 3
Harrogate 4
Stalybridge 3
Witton Albion 2
Ashton Athletic 0
Halifax 5
Stockport County 2
Hyde 0
Bradford PA 0
Salford 1
Farsley 2
Tadcaster Albion 0
Trafford 0
Bishop Auckland 1
Barrow -
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Tranmere -
Halesowen 1
Belper Town 0
Marine 4
Nantwich 5
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
Barwell 0
Mickleover 1
Stourbridge 2
Altrincham 3
Gainsborough 2
Blyth Spartans 2
Morpeth 4
Matlock 2
Kidsgrove Athletic 1
Shildon 1
Workington 3
Lincoln City -
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Guiseley -
Lincoln Utd. 2
Nuneaton 1
Burscough 0
Handsworth Parramore 2
Chorley 2
Dunston 0
Whitby 0
Spennymoor 1
Stamford 2
Gresley 1
Coalville Town 0
AFC Mansfield 1
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Wrexham -
York City -
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Bedworth United 1
Chasetown 0
Consett 1
Curzon Ashton 2
Welling 2
Whyteleafe 0
Farnborough 0
Swindon Supermarine 1
Merthyr Town 2
Portchester 0
East Thurrock Utd 2
Whitehawk 3
Westfields 4
Highgate United 2
Hythe 2
Walton Casuals 4
Hungerford 1
Basingstoke 0
South Park 1
Leiston 4
Sutton -
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Forest Green -
Chesham 4
Sevenoaks 3
Maidenhead 0
Staines 1
Potters 5
Canvey Island 4
Oxford City 2
Bath City 3
Dagenham & Red. -
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Banbury 6
Cirencester 1
Histon 0
Wealdstone 4
Torquay -
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Woking -
Taunton Town 2
Slimbridge 0
AFC Dunstable 1
Hampton & Richmond 7
Gloucester City 2
Salisbury 1
Herne Bay 2
Hemel Hempstead 6
Braintree -
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Bromley -
Beaconsfield Town 3
FC Witham Town 1
Stortford 1
Felixstowe & Walton 2
Worcester 3
Telford 1
Rugby 0
Brackley 6
Tonbridge 3
Wingate & Finchley 0
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
Hereford 3
Slough Town 3
Cambridge City 1
Chelmsford 2
Dartford 3
Faversham 3
Hitchin 2
VCD Athletic 1
Egham Town 2
Worthing FC 2
Hayes & Yeading 0
Dereham 1
St. Albans 2
Boreham Wood -
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AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Concord Rangers 1
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Hendon 2
Aldershot -
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Eastbourne Borough 2
Metropolitan Police 1
Kings Langley 1
Hadley 2
Harrow Borough 2
Uxbridge 1
Truro 0
Winchester City 4
Margate 2
Biggleswade Town 0
Barton 0
Hastings 1
Maidstone -
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Chippenham Town 4
Poole Town 1
Bognor Regis 1
Billericay 2
Kidderminster 4
Tamworth 0
Darlington FC 1
Lancaster 2
Brimscombe & Thrupp 2
Brislington 1
Gosport Borough 2
Weymouth 3
Solihull Moors -
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Boston United 2
Kirby Muxloe 1
Rushall 1
Kettering 2
Burgess Hill 4
Kempston 2
Alresford Town 1
Cadbury Heath 3
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Dover Ath. -
Merstham 2
Colliers Wood 1
Hanwell Town 3
Thamesmead 5
Havant & Waterlooville 5
Highworth 1
Sudbury 0
Ebbsfleet 5
Eastleigh -
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Folkestone 3
Walthamstow FC 1
Weston-super-Mare 1
North Leigh 2
Semi-finals
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester -
Alfreton 2
King’s Lynn 0
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Gateshead -
North Ferriby United -
TBD -
TBD -
Macclesfield -
United of Manchester 3
Harrogate 5
Stalybridge 1
Halifax 2
Stockport County 2
Salford 0
Farsley 0
Bishop Auckland 1
Barrow -
TBD -
TBD -
Tranmere -
Halesowen 2
Nantwich 3
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
Stourbridge 2
Altrincham 3
Morpeth 0
Matlock 4
Workington 2
Lincoln City -
TBD -
TBD -
Guiseley -
Lincoln Utd. 3
Handsworth Parramore 1
Chorley 0
Spennymoor 1
Stamford 2
AFC Mansfield 1
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Wrexham -
York City -
TBD -
Bedworth United 0
Curzon Ashton 4
Welling 7
Swindon Supermarine 1
Merthyr Town 0
Whitehawk 2
Westfields 4
Walton Casuals 0
Hungerford 1
Leiston 4
Sutton -
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Forest Green -
Chesham 2
Staines 0
Potters 2
Bath City 1
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
Banbury 1
Wealdstone 2
Torquay -
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Woking -
Taunton Town 2
Hampton & Richmond 1
Gloucester City 2
Hemel Hempstead 4
Braintree -
TBD -
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Bromley -
Beaconsfield Town 3
Felixstowe & Walton 0
Worcester 0
Brackley 3
Tonbridge 4
Hereford 2
Slough Town 2
Dartford 3
Faversham 1
Egham Town 2
Worthing FC 0
St. Albans 6
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0
Hendon 3
Aldershot -
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough 4
Hadley 1
Harrow Borough 2
Winchester City 1
Margate 4
Hastings 3
Maidstone -
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Chippenham Town 2
Billericay 3
Kidderminster 3
Lancaster 2
Brimscombe & Thrupp 0
Weymouth 6
Solihull Moors -
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Boston United 0
Kettering 2
Burgess Hill 6
Cadbury Heath 1
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Dover Ath. -
Merstham 5
Thamesmead 1
Havant & Waterlooville 0
Ebbsfleet 7
Eastleigh -
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Folkestone 1
North Leigh 3
Stage 5
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Stage 4
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Stage 3
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Stage 2
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Stage 1
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Final
Southport 1
Chester 0
Alfreton 5
Gateshead 4
North Ferriby United 1
Macclesfield 4
Harrogate 0
Halifax 2
Stockport County 2
Bishop Auckland 0
Barrow 2
Tranmere 1
Nantwich 1
Stourbridge 3
Altrincham 3
Matlock 1
Lincoln City 2
Guiseley 1
Lincoln Utd. 0
Spennymoor 3
Stamford 4
Wrexham 3
York City 2
Curzon Ashton 3
Welling 0
Whitehawk 1
Westfields 2
Leiston 1
Sutton 2
Forest Green 1
Chesham 1
Potters 0
Dagenham & Red. 3
Wealdstone 1
Torquay 2
Woking 3
Taunton Town 1
Hemel Hempstead 0
Braintree 4
Bromley 2
Beaconsfield Town 0
Brackley 5
Tonbridge 0
Dartford 3
Egham Town 0
St. Albans 1
Boreham Wood 3
Hendon 0
Aldershot 1
Eastbourne Borough 2
Harrow Borough 5
Margate 3
Maidstone 3
Billericay 1
Kidderminster 6
Weymouth 0
Solihull Moors 3
Kettering 1
Burgess Hill 0
Dover Ath. 5
Merstham 2
Ebbsfleet 1
Eastleigh 6
North Leigh 0