Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Skelmersdale vs Kendal

England England

FA Trophy 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Kendal advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Skelmersdale
15%
Draws
36%
Kendal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Skelmersdale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Kendal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Skelmersdale are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Kendal arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kendal, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Skelmersdale Clean Sheet 20%
Kendal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skelmersdale Kendal
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 8
Draws 4 1
Losses 20 19
Goals Scored 1.13 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.67 2.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2016 FA Trophy
Skelmersdale vs Kendal
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skelmersdale 85 / 100
Kendal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skelmersdale Kendal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skelmersdale Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kendal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Skelmersdale found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: Kendal registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Skelmersdale VS Kendal
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Skelmersdale

(Home)
06 Jul
Burscough
1 : 1
Skelmersdale
14 Sept
Widnes FC
2 : 1
Skelmersdale
04 Sept
Radcliffe
2 : 0
Skelmersdale
27 Jul
Skelmersdale
4 : 1
Prescot Cables
10 Jul
Skelmersdale
2 : 3
Widnes FC
Page 1 of 6

Kendal

(Away)
30 Aug
Kendal
0 : 1
Dunston
15 Jul
Kendal
1 : 2
Lancaster
09 Jul
Kendal
0 : 3
Carlisle
06 Jul
Kendal
2 : 1
Morecambe
06 Jul
Kendal
0 : 9
Carlisle
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Nantwich -
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Warrington Town -
Skelmersdale -
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Burscough 1
Kendal 2
Goole 2
Belper Town 1
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Blyth Spartans -
Rushall -
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Halesowen -
Buxton -
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Tadcaster Albion 0
Glossop North End 2
Stourbridge -
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King’s Lynn -
Marine -
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Ashton United -
Bedworth United 5
Rugby 3
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Neots -
Hednesford -
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Basford Utd. 0
Stamford 1
Corby -
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Stafford -
St Ives Town -
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Chasetown 1
Carlton Town 3
Sutton Coldfield Town -
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Loughborough Dynamo 1
Leek Town 2
Shaw Lane 2
Scarborough Athletic 0
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Frickley -
Workington -
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Whitby -
Ramsbottom Utd 3
Sheffield FC 1
Ossett Albion 1
Prescot Cables 2
Cambridge City -
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Redditch -
Kidsgrove Athletic -
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Newcastle Town 1
Soham 3
Lancaster 4
Droylsden 2
Clitheroe 0
Stocksbridge 5
Barwell -
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Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) -
Mossley AFC 4
Northwich Victoria 3
Radcliffe 1
Farsley 3
Stratford -
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Grantham Town -
Spennymoor -
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Matlock -
Trafford 2
Colne 1
Ossett Town 0
Bamber Bridge 1
Leamington -
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Mickleover -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 7
Histon 2
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Coalville Town -
Gresley 4
Spalding United 1
Romulus 3
Lincoln Utd. 5
Colwyn Bay 1
Hyde 0
Brighouse Town 2
Witton Albion 5
Market Drayton -
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Kettering -
Kings Langley -
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Heybridge -
Canvey Island -
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Enfield Town -
Bishops Cleeve 1
Didcot 0
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Banbury -
Swindon Supermarine 3
Slimbridge 1
Larkhall 2
Taunton Town 6
Dunstable Town -
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Norwich Utd 0
Tooting & Mitcham 2
Wantage 3
Kidlington 2
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Weymouth -
Dorchester -
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Farnborough 1
Barnstaple Town 5
Staines -
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Basingstoke -
Merthyr Town -
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Cinderford Town -
Bognor Regis -
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Slough Town -
Havant & Waterlooville -
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Cirencester -
Maldon & Tiptree 3
Great Wakering 1
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Billericay -
Brightlingsea 2
Dereham 1
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Metropolitan Police -
Uxbridge 4
AFC Dunstable 0
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Harlow -
Hanwell Town 4
Bedford 0
Sittingbourne 0
Bury Town 2
Evesham 1
Shortwood 0
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Frome Town -
Chippenham Town -
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Hereford 3
Salisbury 4
Hendon -
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Leiston -
Dulwich Hamlet -
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Lowestoft -
Leatherhead -
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Chesham -
Merstham -
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Waltham Abbey -
Walton Casuals -
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Haringey Borough 1
Hythe 2
Burgess Hill -
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Beaconsfield Town -
Corinthian-Casuals 2
Thamesmead 1
Arlesey 2
Chalfont St Peter 8
Biggleswade Town -
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Aveley 1
FC Witham Town 2
Hayes & Yeading -
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Hitchin -
Folkestone -
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Whyteleafe 1
Cheshunt 3
Yate 2
Mangotsfield 0
Bridgwater United 3
North Leigh 6
Royston Town 3
Egham Town 0
Dorking Wanderers 3
Northwood 6
Tiverton 6
Paulton Rovers 1
AFC Totton 3
Wimborne 4
Needham Market -
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Godalming Town 0
Wroxham 3
Herne Bay 1
Barton 0
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Harrow Borough -
Cray Wanderers 6
Carshalton 3
Brentwood 1
Marlow 2
Kempston 5
Chipstead 3
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Worthing FC -
Phoenix Sports -
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Three Bridges 0
East Grinstead Town 4
Fleet Town 2
Bideford 1
Petersfield 2
Winchester City 4
Hastings 3
Ramsgate 0
Chatham 1
Aylesbury United 4
Faversham -
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Guernsey FC 0
South Park 2
Sudbury -
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Thurrock 1
Bowers & Pitsea 2
Horsham FC 2
Potters 0
Molesey 1
Romford 3
Kingstonian -
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Tilbury 1
Lewes 4
Tonbridge -
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Hornchurch 2
Ashford Town 3
Ware 3
Aylesbury Vale 1
Greenwich Borough 2
VCD Athletic 3
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Semi-finals
Nantwich 2
Warrington Town 0
Skelmersdale 1
Kendal 3
Goole 2
Blyth Spartans 8
Rushall 1
Halesowen 2
Buxton 2
Glossop North End 0
Stourbridge 1
King’s Lynn 2
Marine 4
Ashton United 0
Bedworth United 2
Neots 3
Hednesford 4
Stamford 1
Corby 0
Stafford 2
St Ives Town 4
Carlton Town 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 1
Leek Town 2
Shaw Lane 6
Frickley 2
Workington 3
Whitby 4
Ramsbottom Utd 2
Prescot Cables 1
Cambridge City 1
Redditch 3
Kidsgrove Athletic 5
Soham 3
Lancaster 1
Stocksbridge 2
Barwell 2
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 0
Mossley AFC 1
Farsley 3
Stratford 2
Grantham Town 6
Spennymoor 1
Matlock 2
Trafford 2
Bamber Bridge 0
Leamington 0
Mickleover 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Coalville Town 0
Gresley 2
Lincoln Utd. 4
Colwyn Bay 2
Witton Albion 4
Market Drayton 1
Kettering 5
Kings Langley 1
Heybridge 0
Canvey Island 2
Enfield Town 3
Bishops Cleeve 1
Banbury 0
Swindon Supermarine 0
Taunton Town 5
Dunstable Town 4
Tooting & Mitcham 2
Wantage 0
Weymouth 4
Dorchester 3
Barnstaple Town 1
Staines 1
Basingstoke 4
Merthyr Town 6
Cinderford Town 1
Bognor Regis 1
Slough Town 4
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Cirencester 1
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Billericay 2
Brightlingsea 6
Metropolitan Police 2
Uxbridge 0
Harlow 1
Hanwell Town 2
Bury Town 1
Evesham 1
Frome Town 2
Chippenham Town 3
Salisbury 2
Hendon 0
Leiston 5
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Lowestoft 1
Leatherhead 2
Chesham 3
Merstham 5
Waltham Abbey 0
Walton Casuals 2
Hythe 3
Burgess Hill 5
Beaconsfield Town 1
Corinthian-Casuals 2
Chalfont St Peter 3
Biggleswade Town 1
FC Witham Town 0
Hayes & Yeading 0
Hitchin 1
Folkestone 3
Cheshunt 1
Yate 1
North Leigh 6
Royston Town 6
Northwood 3
Tiverton 0
Wimborne 1
Needham Market 2
Wroxham 0
Herne Bay 2
Harrow Borough 5
Cray Wanderers 4
Marlow 0
Kempston 1
Worthing FC 3
Phoenix Sports 3
East Grinstead Town 2
Fleet Town 1
Winchester City 2
Hastings 4
Aylesbury United 0
Faversham 3
South Park 4
Sudbury 4
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Horsham FC 1
Romford 3
Kingstonian 2
Lewes 1
Tonbridge 7
Ashford Town 4
Ware 3
VCD Athletic 1
Grays 1
Wingate & Finchley 3
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Final
Nantwich 2
Kendal 0
Blyth Spartans 4
Halesowen 3
Buxton 1
King’s Lynn 3
Marine 5
Neots 3
Hednesford 2
Stafford 3
St Ives Town 2
Leek Town 1
Shaw Lane 3
Whitby 0
Ramsbottom Utd 4
Redditch 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Stocksbridge 5
Barwell 2
Farsley 3
Grantham Town 0
Matlock 2
Trafford 0
Mickleover 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Lincoln Utd. 5
Witton Albion 2
Kettering 1
Kings Langley 1
Enfield Town 0
Bishops Cleeve 0
Taunton Town 1
Dunstable Town 1
Weymouth 4
Dorchester 0
Basingstoke 3
Merthyr Town 2
Slough Town 4
Havant & Waterlooville 5
Billericay 0
Brightlingsea 2
Harlow 3
Hanwell Town 0
Frome Town 1
Chippenham Town 0
Leiston 1
Dulwich Hamlet 4
Chesham 0
Merstham 0
Hythe 3
Burgess Hill 4
Chalfont St Peter 3
Biggleswade Town 3
Hitchin 4
Folkestone 2
North Leigh 3
Royston Town 4
Wimborne 0
Needham Market 1
Harrow Borough 2
Cray Wanderers 1
Worthing FC 2
Phoenix Sports 1
Winchester City 3
Hastings 3
South Park 4
Sudbury 4
Romford 0
Kingstonian 3
Tonbridge 2
Ware 0
Wingate & Finchley 2
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