Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Skenderbeu Korca vs AF Elbasani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Abissnet Superiore Skënderbeu Stadium, Korçë
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Skenderbeu Korca host AF Elbasani in the Abissnet Superiore. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. AF Elbasani have shipped 1.44 goals a game lately, while Skenderbeu Korca have conceded 0.83 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor AF Elbasani slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.19) back Skenderbeu Korca to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Skenderbeu Korca
35%
Draws
35%
AF Elbasani
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Skenderbeu Korca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Skenderbeu Korca Clean Sheet 20%
AF Elbasani Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skenderbeu Korca AF Elbasani
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 15 12
Draws 8 10
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.44
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Club Friendly
AF Elbasani vs Skenderbeu Korca
1:1
Mar 6, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs Skenderbeu Korca
0:0
Dec 20, 2024 Abissnet Superiore
Skenderbeu Korca vs AF Elbasani
0:2
Oct 26, 2024 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs Skenderbeu Korca
1:1
Aug 19, 2024 Abissnet Superiore
Skenderbeu Korca vs AF Elbasani
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skenderbeu Korca 31 / 100
AF Elbasani 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skenderbeu Korca AF Elbasani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skenderbeu Korca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: AF Elbasani conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

Skenderbeu Korca scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Skenderbeu Korca went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Skenderbeu Korca VS AF Elbasani
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Skenderbeu Korca

(Home)
06 Oct
Skenderbeu Korca
4 : 1
Kucove
19 Sept
Vora
1 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
11 Sept
Skenderbeu Korca
1 : 1
KF Tirana
04 Sept
KF Egnatia
2 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
31 Aug
Skenderbeu Korca
0 : 1
Dinamo City
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AF Elbasani

(Away)
20 Sept
KF Tirana
2 : 2
AF Elbasani
13 Sept
AF Elbasani
2 : 1
KF Egnatia
06 Sept
Dinamo City
2 : 1
AF Elbasani
29 Aug
AF Elbasani
1 : 1
Vllaznia
22 Aug
Laci
1 : 1
AF Elbasani
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teuta 5 4 1 0 10:2 13
2 KF Egnatia 5 4 0 1 11:5 12
3 Dinamo City 5 4 0 1 10:5 12
4 Laci 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
5 AF Elbasani 5 1 3 1 7:7 6
6 KF Tirana 5 1 2 2 8:9 5
7 Partizani 5 1 1 3 7:10 4
8 Vora 5 1 1 3 3:10 4
9 Skenderbeu Korca 5 0 3 2 5:7 3
10 Vllaznia 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Championship Group)
Relegation - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation Group)