Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Skenderbeu Korca vs Iliria Kruja

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup Skënderbeu Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Mavanga D. J.
40' Event
Abiodoun T.
48' Event
Cucka F.

AI Match Summary

Skenderbeu Korca host Iliria Kruja in the Albanian Cup. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Skenderbeu Korca have averaged 1.38 scored and 0.13 conceded recently, against Iliria Kruja's 0.88 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Skenderbeu Korca have won 5 to Iliria Kruja's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 0.51) point toward Skenderbeu Korca. Skenderbeu Korca in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Skenderbeu Korca
17%
Draws
13%
Iliria Kruja
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Skenderbeu Korca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Skenderbeu Korca has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Iliria Kruja.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Skenderbeu Korca.
  • Cup tournament structure in Albanian Cup increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Skenderbeu Korca Clean Sheet 20%
Iliria Kruja Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skenderbeu Korca Iliria Kruja
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 9
Draws 5 11
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Skenderbeu Korca vs Iliria Kruja
1:0
Dec 17, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs Skenderbeu Korca
0:2
Nov 19, 2025 Albanian Cup
Skenderbeu Korca vs Iliria Kruja
4:2
Sep 12, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Skenderbeu Korca vs Iliria Kruja
2:0
Nov 6, 2013 Albanian Cup
Skenderbeu Korca vs Iliria Kruja
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skenderbeu Korca Compare

Top Goalscorer Cucka F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Abiodoun T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Iliria Kruja Compare

Top Goalscorer Mavanga D. J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Veriu R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skenderbeu Korca 67 / 100
Iliria Kruja 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skenderbeu Korca Iliria Kruja

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skenderbeu Korca scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Iliria Kruja let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Skenderbeu Korca went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Iliria Kruja lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Skenderbeu Korca VS Iliria Kruja
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.13 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
KF Tirana-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Skenderbeu Korca5
Basania FC2
Iliria Kruja5
Luzi1
Dinamo Tirana-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Besa Kavaje5
Shkumbini Peqin0
Kukesi3
Terbuni Puka1
Bylis-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Laci3
Kelcyra0
AF Luftetari2
KF Oriku0
Vllaznia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pogradeci4
Delvina0
Korabi Peshkopi4
Koplik1
Teuta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vora6
Maliqi2
Erzeni Shijak0
Librazhd2
KF Egnatia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Apolonia Fier3
Beselidhja Lezha0
Lushnja2
Butrinti Sarande1
AF Elbasani-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Flamurtari5
Kucove0
KF Valbona-
Tomori Berat-
Partizani-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Burreli3
Albanet1
Kastrioti3
KS Devolli2
1/16-finals
KF Tirana-
TBD-
Skenderbeu Korca4
Iliria Kruja2
Dinamo Tirana-
TBD-
Besa Kavaje3
Kukesi1
Bylis-
TBD-
Laci2
AF Luftetari0
Vllaznia-
TBD-
Pogradeci4
Korabi Peshkopi3
Teuta-
TBD-
Vora2
Librazhd1
KF Egnatia-
TBD-
Apolonia Fier3
Lushnja2
AF Elbasani-
TBD-
Flamurtari9
Tomori Berat0
Partizani-
TBD-
Burreli5
Kastrioti2
1/8-finals
KF Tirana2
Skenderbeu Korca1
Dinamo Tirana3
Besa Kavaje0
Bylis3
Laci2
Vllaznia1
Pogradeci0
Teuta2
Vora0
KF Egnatia1
Apolonia Fier0
AF Elbasani2
Flamurtari1
Partizani3
Burreli0
Quarter-finals
KF Tirana0
Dinamo Tirana4
Bylis1
Vllaznia3
Teuta1
KF Egnatia2
AF Elbasani3
Partizani2
Semi-finals
Dinamo Tirana2
Vllaznia1
KF Egnatia3
AF Elbasani2
Final
Dinamo Tirana3
KF Egnatia2