Sport Picks
Skenderbeu Korca vs Iliria Kruja
Albania
Albanian Cup 2025/2026 Skënderbeu Stadium, Korçë 
Match Events
14'
14'
Mavanga D. J.
40'
40'
Abiodoun T.
48'
48'
Cucka F.
AI Match Summary
Skenderbeu Korca in this Albanian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 4-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
35%
43%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Iliria Kruja
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Skenderbeu Korca lately — more wins on the board than Iliria Kruja.
- Model gives Skenderbeu Korca a 36% chance of winning this.
- Skenderbeu Korca have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Skenderbeu Korca, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Skenderbeu Korca have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Skenderbeu Korca Clean Sheet 20%
Iliria Kruja Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Skenderbeu Korca | Iliria Kruja |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 31 |
| Wins | 18 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 13 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Skenderbeu Korca vs Iliria Kruja
1:0
Dec 17, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs Skenderbeu Korca
0:2
Nov 19, 2025 Albanian Cup
Skenderbeu Korca vs Iliria Kruja
4:2
Sep 12, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Skenderbeu Korca vs Iliria Kruja
2:0
Nov 6, 2013 Albanian Cup
Skenderbeu Korca vs Iliria Kruja
8:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Skenderbeu Korca Compare
Top Goalscorer Cucka F.
2 Goals Assists Leader Abiodoun T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Iliria Kruja Compare
Top Goalscorer Mavanga D. J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Veriu R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Skenderbeu Korca 36 / 100
Iliria Kruja 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Skenderbeu Korca Iliria Kruja
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Skenderbeu Korca scored in 82% of their last 33 outings.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Iliria Kruja conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.
Solid form: Skenderbeu Korca remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Skenderbeu Korca VS Iliria Kruja
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Skenderbeu Korca
(Home) 19 Sept
Vora
1 : 1 Skenderbeu Korca
11 Sept
Skenderbeu Korca
1 : 1 KF Tirana
04 Sept
KF Egnatia
2 : 1 Skenderbeu Korca
31 Aug
Skenderbeu Korca
0 : 1 Dinamo City
21 Aug
Vllaznia
2 : 2 Skenderbeu Korca
Page 1 of 7
11 Sept
Skenderbeu Korca
1 : 1 KF Tirana
31 Aug
Skenderbeu Korca
0 : 1 Dinamo City
05 Aug
Skenderbeu Korca
2 : 1 Kukesi
26 Jul
Skenderbeu Korca
0 : 2 Partizani
17 Jul
Skenderbeu Korca
0 : 1 Struga
Page 1 of 4
Iliria Kruja
(Away) 20 Sept
Iliria Kruja
1 : 1 Bylis
16 Sept
Korabi Peshkopi
1 : 1 Iliria Kruja
12 Sept
Iliria Kruja
3 : 1 Kukesi
05 Sept
Iliria Kruja
0 : 0 Pogradeci
07 May
Iliria Kruja
0 : 2 Besa Kavaje
Page 1 of 7
16 Sept
Korabi Peshkopi
1 : 1 Iliria Kruja
03 May
Korabi Peshkopi
1 : 1 Iliria Kruja
19 Apr
Lushnja
0 : 3 Iliria Kruja
04 Apr
Skenderbeu Korca
1 : 0 Iliria Kruja
18 Mar
Pogradeci
3 : 0 Iliria Kruja
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
KF Tirana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca 5
Basania FC 2
Iliria Kruja 5
Luzi 1
Dinamo City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Besa Kavaje 5
Shkumbini Peqin 0
Kukesi 3
Terbuni Puka 1
Bylis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Laci 3
Kelcyra 0
AF Luftetari 2
KF Oriku 0
Vllaznia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogradeci 4
Delvina 0
Korabi Peshkopi 4
Koplik 1
Teuta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vora 6
Maliqi 2
Erzeni Shijak 0
Sopoti Librazhd 2
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 3
Beselidhja Lezha 0
Lushnja 2
Butrinti Sarande 1
AF Elbasani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flamurtari 5
Kucove 0
KF Valbona -
Tomori Berat -
Partizani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Burreli 3
Albanet 1
Kastrioti 3
KS Devolli 2
1/16-finals
KF Tirana -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca 4
Iliria Kruja 2
Dinamo City -
TBD -
Besa Kavaje 3
Kukesi 1
Bylis -
TBD -
Laci 2
AF Luftetari 0
Vllaznia -
TBD -
Pogradeci 4
Korabi Peshkopi 3
Teuta -
TBD -
Vora 2
Sopoti Librazhd 1
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 3
Lushnja 2
AF Elbasani -
TBD -
Flamurtari 9
Tomori Berat 0
Partizani -
TBD -
Burreli 5
Kastrioti 2
1/8-finals
KF Tirana 2
Skenderbeu Korca 1
Dinamo City 3
Besa Kavaje 0
Bylis 3
Laci 2
Vllaznia 1
Pogradeci 0
Teuta 2
Vora 0
KF Egnatia 1
Apolonia Fier 0
AF Elbasani 2
Flamurtari 1
Partizani 3
Burreli 0
Quarter-finals
KF Tirana 0
Dinamo City 4
Bylis 1
Vllaznia 3
Teuta 1
KF Egnatia 2
AF Elbasani 3
Partizani 2
Semi-finals
Dinamo City 2
Vllaznia 1
KF Egnatia 3
AF Elbasani 2
Final
Dinamo City 3
KF Egnatia 2
