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Skenderbeu Korca vs Koplik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup 2021/2022 Skënderbeu Stadium, Korçë
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ngissah B.
30' Event
Nikaj A.
33' Event
Vitija L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Skenderbeu Korca advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Skenderbeu Korca
30%
Draws
12%
Koplik
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Skenderbeu Korca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Skenderbeu Korca come out ahead of Koplik on wins alone.
  • Skenderbeu Korca are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Skenderbeu Korca have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Skenderbeu Korca, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Skenderbeu Korca have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Skenderbeu Korca Clean Sheet 13%
Koplik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skenderbeu Korca Koplik
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 3
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 1.52 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.77 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2021 Albanian Cup
Skenderbeu Korca vs Koplik
4:0
Sep 22, 2021 Albanian Cup
Koplik vs Skenderbeu Korca
0:3
Sep 26, 2018 Albanian Cup
Skenderbeu Korca vs Koplik
4:0
Sep 12, 2018 Albanian Cup
Koplik vs Skenderbeu Korca
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skenderbeu Korca Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngissah B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nikaj A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Koplik Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skenderbeu Korca 84 / 100
Koplik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skenderbeu Korca Koplik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skenderbeu Korca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skenderbeu Korca's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Koplik conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Skenderbeu Korca remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Skenderbeu Korca VS Koplik
1.13 Goals Scored 3
0.38 Goals Conceded 4
38% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Skenderbeu Korca

(Home)
06 Oct
Skenderbeu Korca
4 : 1
Kucove
19 Sept
Vora
1 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
11 Sept
Skenderbeu Korca
1 : 1
KF Tirana
04 Sept
KF Egnatia
2 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
31 Aug
Skenderbeu Korca
0 : 1
Dinamo City
Page 1 of 7

Koplik

(Away)
07 Oct
Iliria Kruja
4 : 3
Koplik
14 Oct
Korabi Peshkopi
4 : 1
Koplik
16 Oct
Korabi Peshkopi
5 : 2
Koplik
18 Oct
Turbina Cerrik
4 : 0
Koplik
12 Oct
KF Tirana
2 : 2
Koplik
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Erzeni Shijak -
TBD -
TBD -
Dinamo City -
Shkumbini Peqin -
TBD -
TBD -
KF Tirana -
Beselidhja Lezha -
TBD -
TBD -
Burreli -
Terbuni Puka -
TBD -
TBD -
Partizani -
Flamurtari -
TBD -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier -
KF Elbasani -
TBD -
TBD -
Kastrioti -
Besa Kavaje -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogradeci -
Laberia FC 3
KS Devolli 0
TBD -
Vllaznia -
KF Oriku -
TBD -
TBD -
Bylis -
Koplik -
TBD -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca -
Vora -
TBD -
TBD -
Korabi Peshkopi -
Sopoti Librazhd 1
Luzi 2
TBD -
Teuta -
Turbina Cerrik -
TBD -
TBD -
KF Egnatia -
Maliqi -
TBD -
TBD -
Kukesi -
Butrinti Sarande -
TBD -
TBD -
Laci -
Lushnja -
TBD -
TBD -
Tomori Berat -
1/16-finals
Erzeni Shijak 1
Dinamo City 2
Shkumbini Peqin 0
KF Tirana 9
Beselidhja Lezha 4
Burreli 2
Terbuni Puka 0
Partizani 6
Flamurtari 3
Apolonia Fier 2
KF Elbasani 0
Kastrioti 4
Besa Kavaje 1
Pogradeci 2
Laberia FC 2
Vllaznia 5
KF Oriku 1
Bylis 7
Koplik 0
Skenderbeu Korca 7
Vora 3
Korabi Peshkopi 5
Luzi 3
Teuta 6
Turbina Cerrik 1
KF Egnatia 2
Maliqi 0
Kukesi 4
Butrinti Sarande 1
Laci 5
Lushnja 0
Tomori Berat 3
1/8-finals
Dinamo City 3
KF Tirana 2
Beselidhja Lezha 0
Partizani 3
Flamurtari 4
Kastrioti 2
Pogradeci 1
Vllaznia 8
Bylis 3
Skenderbeu Korca 4
Korabi Peshkopi 0
Teuta 3
KF Egnatia 3
Kukesi 2
Laci 2
Tomori Berat 1
Quarter-finals
Dinamo City 1
Partizani 2
Flamurtari 1
Vllaznia 3
Skenderbeu Korca 0
Teuta 2
KF Egnatia 1
Laci 2
Semi-finals
Partizani 1
Vllaznia 2
Teuta 2
Laci 3
Final
Vllaznia 2
Laci 1