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Skenderbeu Korca vs Maliqi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup 2022/2023 Skënderbeu Stadium, Korçë
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Becka K.
73' Event
Abubakari S.
80' Event
Pecani R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Skenderbeu Korca advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Skenderbeu Korca
20%
Draws
0%
Maliqi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Skenderbeu Korca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Skenderbeu Korca come out ahead of Maliqi on wins alone.
  • Skenderbeu Korca are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Skenderbeu Korca have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Skenderbeu Korca, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Skenderbeu Korca Clean Sheet 20%
Maliqi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skenderbeu Korca Maliqi
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 5
Draws 8 3
Losses 6 22
Goals Scored 1.55 1
Goals Conceded 0.81 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2022 Albanian Cup
Skenderbeu Korca vs Maliqi
3:0
Sep 26, 2022 Albanian Cup
Maliqi vs Skenderbeu Korca
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skenderbeu Korca Compare

Top Goalscorer Becka K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abubakari S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Maliqi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skenderbeu Korca 85 / 100
Maliqi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skenderbeu Korca Maliqi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skenderbeu Korca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skenderbeu Korca scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Maliqi let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Maliqi lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Skenderbeu Korca VS Maliqi
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 3
38% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Skenderbeu Korca

(Home)
06 Oct
Skenderbeu Korca
4 : 1
Kucove
19 Sept
Vora
1 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
11 Sept
Skenderbeu Korca
1 : 1
KF Tirana
04 Sept
KF Egnatia
2 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
31 Aug
Skenderbeu Korca
0 : 1
Dinamo City
Page 1 of 7

Maliqi

(Away)
07 Oct
Apolonia Fier
3 : 1
Maliqi
08 Aug
Maliqi
1 : 3
Kukesi
16 Jan
Struga
3 : 0
Maliqi
15 Oct
Vora
6 : 2
Maliqi
12 Oct
Skenderbeu Korca
3 : 0
Maliqi
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Pogradeci -
TBD -
TBD -
Bylis -
Flamurtari -
TBD -
TBD -
Vllaznia -
Besa Kavaje -
TBD -
TBD -
Korabi Peshkopi -
KF Oriku -
TBD -
TBD -
Partizani -
Maliqi -
TBD -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca -
Shkumbini Peqin -
TBD -
TBD -
KF Egnatia -
Burreli -
TBD -
TBD -
Tomori Berat -
KS Devolli 5
Sopoti Librazhd 1
TBD -
Laci -
Butrinti Sarande -
TBD -
TBD -
Dinamo City -
Vora -
TBD -
TBD -
Kastrioti -
Lushnja -
TBD -
TBD -
Terbuni Puka -
Koplik 3
Murlani 0
TBD -
KF Tirana -
Turbina Cerrik -
TBD -
TBD -
Erzeni Shijak -
Luzi -
TBD -
TBD -
Teuta -
Beselidhja Lezha -
TBD -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier -
Laberia FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Kukesi -
1/16-finals
Pogradeci 1
Bylis 10
Flamurtari 2
Vllaznia 4
Besa Kavaje 1
Korabi Peshkopi 4
KF Oriku 0
Partizani 2
Maliqi 1
Skenderbeu Korca 8
Shkumbini Peqin 0
KF Egnatia 6
Burreli 2
Tomori Berat 5
KS Devolli 0
Laci 7
Butrinti Sarande 0
Dinamo City 4
Vora 0
Kastrioti 1
Lushnja 4
Terbuni Puka 3
Koplik 2
KF Tirana 5
Turbina Cerrik 1
Erzeni Shijak 6
Luzi 0
Teuta 2
Beselidhja Lezha 1
Apolonia Fier 2
Laberia FC 0
Kukesi 5
1/8-finals
Bylis 1
Vllaznia 3
Korabi Peshkopi 1
Partizani 6
Skenderbeu Korca 1
KF Egnatia 2
Tomori Berat 2
Laci 5
Dinamo City 1
Kastrioti 3
Lushnja 0
KF Tirana 4
Erzeni Shijak 1
Teuta 2
Apolonia Fier 0
Kukesi 5
Quarter-finals
Vllaznia 3
Partizani 2
KF Egnatia 3
Laci 0
Kastrioti 3
KF Tirana 6
Teuta 3
Kukesi 2
Semi-finals
Vllaznia 1
KF Egnatia 2
KF Tirana 3
Teuta 0
Final
KF Egnatia 1
KF Tirana 0